基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

氧化铝价格持续回调，铝价中枢或进入升势

2025-01-14 09:13:43 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

分享到：

打印

复制链接

上周氧化铝价格现持续回调。

基本面来看，近期氧化铝开工率出现反弹，供应小幅增长，需求端随着广西、四川等地电解铝技改及减产有所下降。

截至 12 月底，电解铝厂氧化铝原料库存有所回升，下游备库及采购积极性减弱，氧化铝偏紧格局松动。

2025 年氧化铝新增产能规模较大，全年氧化铝过剩压力抬升，我们认为氧化铝价格中枢或进入震荡走弱趋势。

电解铝产能瓶颈凸显，政策助力下需求弹性有望加速释放，基本面预计持续向好，铝价中枢或进入升势；同时氧化铝价格中枢回落助力电解铝利润持续修复。

免责声明
北方有色网提供的信息仅供参考，不作为决策建议，客户需自主判断决策，并自行承担相关后果。本报告版权归北方有色网所有，仅限客户自身使用。如需引用，须联系申请授权；未经书面许可，任何机构或个人不得以任何形式传播、发布、篡改本报告。北方有色网保留追究任何侵权行为法律责任的权利。

日报

更多+

▪2025年12月18日钴市场日报[12-18]

▪2025年12月18日钛市场日报[12-18]

▪2025年12月18日稀土市场日报[12-18]

▪2025年12月18日锌市场日报[12-18]

▪2025年12月18日电解铝市场日报[12-18]

周报

更多+

▪《锆市场周报》第50周（12.8-12.12）[12-16]

▪《铜市场周报》第50周（12.8-12.12）[12-15]

▪《电解铝周报》第50周（12.8-12.12)[12-15]

▪《铅锌周报》第50周（12.8-12.12)[12-15]

▪《钛市场周报》第50周（12.8-12.12）[12-15]

研究报告

更多+

▪碳酸锂价格有望高位震荡-2025年11月碳酸锂月报[12-08]

▪《锌市场月报》第11月（10.1-10.30)[12-08]

▪《铝市场月报》第11月（11.1-11.30）[12-05]

▪《钛市场月报》第11月（11.1-11.30）[12-05]

▪《钛市场月报》第10月（10.1-10.31）[11-20]

热点

更多+

▪投资5亿！武汉6万吨铁锂电池回收项目投产，干法技术领跑行业[12-18]

▪2025光伏行业盈利改善亏损持续收窄[12-18]

▪封关启幕：金融“活水”筑牢海南自贸港开放基石[12-18]

▪印尼拟大幅下调2026年镍矿产量目标[12-18]

▪深圳27人走私管制金属锑锭166余吨出境主犯被判12年[12-18]

基本文件流程错误 SQL 调试

/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/public/index.php ( 0.75 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/start.php ( 0.72 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/base.php ( 2.60 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Loader.php ( 21.07 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Error.php ( 3.75 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Config.php ( 6.38 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/convention.php ( 10.37 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/App.php ( 21.51 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Request.php ( 49.78 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/config.php ( 10.19 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/database.php ( 1.96 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Hook.php ( 4.71 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/tags.php ( 0.96 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/common.php ( 28.86 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Env.php ( 1.21 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/helper.php ( 17.30 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Lang.php ( 7.41 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Log.php ( 6.05 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/lang/zh-cn.php ( 11.81 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/route.php ( 2.86 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Route.php ( 60.23 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/index/controller/News.php ( 28.74 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/index/controller/Base.php ( 3.63 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Controller.php ( 6.07 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/traits/controller/Jump.php ( 4.90 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/View.php ( 6.77 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/view/driver/Think.php ( 5.64 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Template.php ( 44.90 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/template/driver/File.php ( 2.24 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/common/library/RedisUtil.php ( 0.83 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Cache.php ( 6.10 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/cache/driver/Redis.php ( 6.54 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/cache/Driver.php ( 5.98 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/admin/model/Para.php ( 0.09 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Model.php ( 69.14 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Db.php ( 6.67 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/db/connector/Mysql.php ( 3.89 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/db/Connection.php ( 29.97 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/db/Query.php ( 93.77 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/db/builder/Mysql.php ( 4.53 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/db/Builder.php ( 31.55 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Debug.php ( 7.13 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/admin/model/News.php ( 3.74 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/admin/model/Cate.php ( 0.59 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/admin/model/Admin.php ( 0.09 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/common/consts/NewsConst.php ( 0.28 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/application/admin/model/IndexCate.php ( 0.45 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/runtime/temp/ae754a079b49dad486f0fa457bc10d5b.php ( 131.67 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Url.php ( 12.72 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/Response.php ( 8.28 KB )
/websites/wwwroot/cmcc/thinkphp/library/think/debug/Html.php ( 4.17 KB )

[ DB ] CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000498s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=ysscdb;charset=utf8mb4
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_para` [ RunTime:0.000766s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_para` WHERE `id` = 1 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000563s ]
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_news` [ RunTime:0.000608s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_news` WHERE `id` = 119 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000437s ]
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_cate` [ RunTime:0.000517s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 100 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000366s ]
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_admin` [ RunTime:0.000528s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_admin` WHERE `id` = 1 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000359s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT `id`,`title`,`url` FROM `tb_news` WHERE `cate_id` = 98 ORDER BY `submit_date` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.004221s ]
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_index_cate` [ RunTime:0.000552s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_index_cate` WHERE `cate_aid` = 1 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.000432s ]
[ SQL ] select dt,num from tb_price where check_status=1 and cate_aid=1 and cate_bid=10 and cate_cid=27 and area_aid=1 and area_bid=9 and area_cid=41 and mode01=113 and mode02=-1 and mode03=941 and mode04=-1 and mode05=1899 order by dt desc limit 2 [ RunTime:0.000483s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 10 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000360s ]
[ SQL ] select dt,num from tb_price where check_status=1 and cate_aid=1 and cate_bid=11 and cate_cid=38 and area_aid=1 and area_bid=14 and area_cid=91 and mode01=184 and mode02=621 and mode03=1095 and mode04=-1 and mode05=1899 order by dt desc limit 2 [ RunTime:0.000410s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 11 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000354s ]
[ SQL ] select dt,num from tb_price where check_status=1 and cate_aid=1 and cate_bid=12 and cate_cid=46 and area_aid=1 and area_bid=9 and area_cid=41 and mode01=325 and mode02=-1 and mode03=1231 and mode04=-1 and mode05=1899 order by dt desc limit 2 [ RunTime:0.000405s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 12 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000297s ]
[ SQL ] select dt,num from tb_price where check_status=1 and cate_aid=1 and cate_bid=13 and cate_cid=49 and area_aid=1 and area_bid=9 and area_cid=41 and mode01=377 and mode02=696 and mode03=1275 and mode04=-1 and mode05=1899 order by dt desc limit 2 [ RunTime:0.000402s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 13 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000278s ]
[ SQL ] select dt,num from tb_price where check_status=1 and cate_aid=1 and cate_bid=14 and cate_cid=54 and area_aid=1 and area_bid=9 and area_cid=41 and mode01=419 and mode02=-1 and mode03=1400 and mode04=-1 and mode05=1899 order by dt desc limit 2 [ RunTime:0.000382s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `id` = 14 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000310s ]
[ SQL ] SHOW COLUMNS FROM `tb_advert` [ RunTime:0.000503s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_advert` WHERE `id` = 1 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000310s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 10 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 8 [ RunTime:0.001387s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 11 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 8 [ RunTime:0.001274s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 2 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 6 [ RunTime:0.001346s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 12 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 5 [ RunTime:0.001232s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 13 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 5 [ RunTime:0.001257s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 3 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC LIMIT 6 [ RunTime:0.001354s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 10 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001276s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 11 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001255s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 12 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001270s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 13 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001246s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 14 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001236s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 19 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001329s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 15 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001229s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 16 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001199s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 17 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001321s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_cate` WHERE `pid` = 3 AND `id` < 3242 ORDER BY `sortid` ASC [ RunTime:0.001255s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_advert` WHERE `id` = 48 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000314s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_advert` WHERE `id` = 49 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000302s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_advert` WHERE `id` = 50 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000315s ]
[ SQL ] SELECT * FROM `tb_para` WHERE `id` = 1 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000379s ]