基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年度有色行业最具确定性机会

2025-01-15 10:55:54 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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氧化铝层面，供给端逐步宽松，价格加速下跌。短期几内亚博凯和博法地区铝土矿发运转好，中期年内氧化铝新建产能开始陆续投放，后续氧化铝供给或将逐步转为宽松，氧化铝价格下行态势较为明朗。

电解铝层面，盈利修复。随着氧化铝价格加速下跌，加之电解铝产能刚性，电解铝短缺格局将刺激盈利将逐步修复。

综合来看，我们认为“做空氧化铝价格，做多电解铝利润”是本年度有色行业中最具确定性的投资机会，后续电解铝行业利润将持续恢复且极具弹性。

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