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铅：放眼全年，整体格局趋于平衡

2025-02-21 16:34:03 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：杨浩

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进入2025年，铅品种市场一度呈现供需双增态势，但放眼全年，整体格局趋于平衡。

从供应端来看，全球铅矿产量预计增长1.8%，原生铅供应将增加1%。然而，再生铅产量受制于废电瓶供应瓶颈，增速受限，供给整体呈现微微偏紧态势。

需求端方面，在政策刺激下，国内消费大概率温和回暖，为铅价提供一定支撑。但需警惕锂离子电池对铅蓄电池的替代效应，这可能削弱铅的需求增长。

价格端来看，开年以来，沪铅走势表现强劲，但拉长时间来看，预计2025年铅价整体波动不大，较2024年有所收窄，价格中枢或小幅下移。

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