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新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

探究 1 月重庆废铝市场：供需较量如何搅动价格风云

2025-02-17 11:15:15 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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价格行情

熟铝：1 月重庆市场熟铝价格紧跟 A00 铝锭价格走势，整体呈震荡上升状态。1 月重庆市场废光亮铝线价格稳定在 18250-18450 元 / 吨（不含税）。

生铝：1 月重庆地区 ADC12 价格呈稳步上涨态势，环比月初上涨 400 元 / 吨。生铝价格随之呈震荡上涨态势，1 月重庆市场汽车轮毂价格稳定在 17400-17600 元 / 吨（不含税）。

供需格局

供应端：1 月供应端压力较大。一方面，冬季低温天气使社会废铝回收效率降低，旧料流通货源减少；另一方面，进口破碎生铝价格倒挂，废铝进口量减少，加剧了供应紧张。

需求端：需求端表现旺盛，重庆地区再生铝企业备货积极性高，废铝流通持续紧缺。1 月上旬，废铝持货商囤货惜售，企业保价或加价采购，到货量仍不及预期；1 月中下旬，国内废铝持货商基本退市，企业只能采购成本更高的进口料备库。

后市预测

短期：2 月上旬，大部分废铝供应商开工晚于再生铝企业，市场流通货源少，企业以消耗厂内库存为主。2 月中旬元宵节后，市场或迎来补库需求，因供应商年前备库充足，且铝价高位，供应商出货情绪高，市场废料流通预计将更为宽松，铝企原料短缺局面会得到一定缓解。

长期：随着新能源汽车的发展，企业为确保利润，一体化压铸再生比例可能继续提高，预计 2025 年铝企对废生铝需求会进一步增加，废生铝供应将更加紧缺。

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基本文件流程错误 SQL 调试

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