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新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

二次日落复审落槌！印度对华氟橡胶继续征收反倾销税至 2030 年

2025-11-06 17:19:05 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：王欣悦

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2025年10月29日，印度商工部发布公告，对原产于或进口自中国的氟橡胶(FKM)作出第二次反倾销日落复审肯定性终裁，建议继续征收为期5年的反倾销税，税额区间为1.04-8.86美元/千克，其中大金氟化工(中国)有限公司适用1.04美元/千克的最低税率，中昊晨光化工研究院有限公司为1.30美元/千克，成都晨光博达橡塑有限公司为3.85美元/千克，其他中国生产商则适用8.86美元/千克的最高税率。涉案产品涵盖共聚氟橡胶、三元共聚氟橡胶等7类氟橡胶相关产品，不含氟橡胶化合物和全氟醚橡胶(FFKM)，对应印度海关编码39045090、39046990、39049090、39046910。

这一终裁是印度对华氟橡胶反倾销调查的延续，案件可追溯至2018年1月2日印度启动首次反倾销调查，当年12月作出肯定性终裁后，2019年1月印度财政部正式征收0.078-7.31美元/千克的反倾销税，有效期经两次延期后至2020年10月。2020年2月，应印度本土企业GujaratFluorochemicalsLtd申请，印度启动第一次日落复审，同年11月决定延续征税，税额调整为1.04-8.86美元/千克，有效期至2025年11月(后延期至2026年2月26日)。2025年6月，该印度企业再次申请复审，印度商工部以2024年1月1日至12月31日为倾销调查期，以2021年至2024年为损害调查期启动第二次日落复审，最终作出上述肯定性终裁。

此次终裁背后存在多重动因，一方面印度本土氟橡胶需求以年10%增速扩张，但产能不足导致进口依赖度较高，本土企业GujaratFluorochemicalsLtd在生产成本上难以与中国企业竞争，需要通过贸易壁垒维持市场份额;另一方面中国氟橡胶凭借完整产业链具备显著成本优势，出口均价较印度本土低20%-30%，差异化税率的设置也体现了印度对不同中国企业竞争力的精准遏制，同时这也是全球贸易保护主义抬头背景下，印度系统性保护本土制造业的缩影。

终裁将对多方产业产生影响，对中国企业而言，中小生产商面临超50%的出口成本增幅，部分可能被迫退出印度市场，而大金氟化工等低税率头部企业则有望进一步抢占市场份额，行业集中度或将提升，同时出口受阻可能加剧国内市场供应过剩压力;对印度市场来说，汽车、石化等下游行业将面临原材料涨价压力，终端产品价格可能上涨，但贸易壁垒也为本土企业争取了技术研发时间，倒逼其突破高端产品瓶颈;在全球产业链层面，中国企业可能加速向越南、巴西等新兴市场转移产能，或通过技术升级切入高端市场，降低对印度中低端市场的依赖。

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