投行预计近期LME铜价将上涨

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

投行预计近期LME铜价将上涨

2025-03-14 10:54:04 来源：文华财经责任编辑：韩泽楷

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花旗集团(Citigroup)预计，LME铜价将在未来三个月触及每吨1万美元，因为在美国关税时间表变得更加明确之前，全球市场仍然紧

包括Max Layton在内的花旗集团分析师在一份电子邮件报告中写道，“我们认为美国以外实物市场收紧可能会持续到5月16月，暂时抵消潜在关税带来的价格阻力。”

花旗的展望标志着与2月份的预测相比发生了转变，当时花旗预计，第一季度铜价将降至每吨8500美元，然而，花旗仍然预计，"一旦关税导致美国铜进口需求崩溃，我们预计随着第232条铜关税实施的临近，价格将回落。”

此外，供应限制依然存在。全球最大的铜生产国智利1月产量环比下降24%，创下9个月来的最低水平，而冶炼厂的需求继续增长。

摩根士丹利亦预计，在美国可能加征关税的预期下，铜价将进一步上涨。

摩根士丹利指出:“由于尚未征收关税，将金属运往美国的动机很强，世界其他地区的市场也会收紧。”

该行补充说，"在期货价格"滚动下跌"到现货价格的情况下，做多一种处于正价差结构(期货溢价)的商品可能具有挑战性。然而，在逆价差结构(现货溢价)中，“它可以滚动上涨”，这种转变往往可以推动投资者流入。”

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投行预计近期LME铜价将上涨

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