阿联酋 3 月前 11 天对美铝出口飙升超四倍因买家赶在关税生效前囤货

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

阿联酋 3 月前 11 天对美铝出口飙升超四倍因买家赶在关税生效前囤货

2025-03-19 09:43:40 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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据美国商务部 3 月 13 日数据显示，3 月前 11 天阿联酋对美国的铝出口量飙升至 68,560.29 吨，远超 2024 年 3 月全月的 16,124.88 吨，单月出口量逼近两年高位。这一激增现象源于买家在关税生效前的集中囤货行为。作为美国第二大铝供应国，阿联酋 2024 年供应量占美国总消费量的 8%，而加拿大以 70% 的份额稳居首位。

此次出口激增的背景是美国对阿联酋铝产品关税政策的调整。尽管特朗普政府曾在 2024 年底宣布免除阿联酋铝关税，但拜登政府上台后重申维持关税，以保护国内产业并维护国家安全利益。受此影响，市场主体加速在关税生效前完成采购，推动短期出口量暴增。

从全球铝市场格局看，铝价走势呈现复杂态势。伦敦金属交易所（LME）三个月期铝虽在 2025 年一季度累计上涨 5% 至每吨 2,675 美元，但已较 2 月创下的八个月高点 2,736 美元有所回落。浙商证券分析指出，当前铝价中枢仍处于上移通道，主要得益于供给端的严格限制与需求端的结构性改善。国内电解铝产能接近天花板，海外新增产能投放存在不确定性，而光伏、锂电池等新兴领域需求旺盛，推动铝价保持上行趋势。

值得关注的是氧化铝市场的动态。2024 年氧化铝价格因铝土矿供应紧张飙升 40%，但进入 2025 年后，随着几内亚矿石发运恢复、国内新产能释放以及下游电解铝企业因成本压力减产，市场供需逐步宽松。和讯网分析认为，2025 年氧化铝价格中枢将趋于下行，现货库存拐点已现，期货市场呈现熊市结构。不过，矿石进口成本高企仍对价格形成支撑，短期内氧化铝价格大幅下跌空间有限。

全球贸易环境的不确定性持续影响铝产业链。加拿大作为美国最大的钢铝供应国，已宣布对美征收报复性关税，进一步加剧了市场波动。与此同时，全球最大铝生产商之一 EGA 警告称，2025 年铝价将因贸易紧张局势和新增产能上线而持续波动，氧化铝市场则有望逐步回归供需平衡。

综合来看，阿联酋对美铝出口的短期激增反映了关税政策对市场行为的直接影响，而全球铝市场正面临供给约束与需求复苏的双重作用。随着产业链上下游的动态调整，铝价与氧化铝价格的走势将成为全年关注焦点，贸易政策、产能投放及矿石供应等因素仍将主导市场格局。

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阿联酋 3 月前 11 天对美铝出口飙升超四倍 因买家赶在关税生效前囤货

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阿联酋 3 月前 11 天对美铝出口飙升超四倍因买家赶在关税生效前囤货