多重利多驱动铜价偏强运行

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

多重利多驱动铜价偏强运行

2025-03-21 09:48:30 来源：金源期货责任编辑：韩泽楷

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周四沪铜主力2505合约偏强运行，伦铜短期站上10000美金关口后转入震荡，COMEX美铜突破510美分/磅，国内近月4-5价差收窄，周四电解铜现货市场成交遇冷，铜价短期涨幅过快下游观望居多，现货转向平水，昨日LME库存降至22.3万吨。

宏观方面：欧盟贸易委员会官员表示将推迟对美国实施报复性关税的期限，为欧盟和美国谈判争取更多时间，若没有达成协议欧盟同时考对美国将于4月2日实施对等关税的应对措施。英国央行维持基准利率4.5%不变，声明称全球贸易战政策的不确定性增加，地缘政治风险仍然存在，全球金融市场波动指标有所上升，利率仍将处于逐步下行的路径之中。美国总统昨日发文称，美联储应当继续降息，因为美国关税影响将逐渐渗透入经济环境中，降息可视为对冲经济下行风险避免浅衰退的有效手段。

产业方面：统计局数据，今年1-2月我国铜材产量达316.3万吨，同比 4.2%。据彭博报道，美国即将迎来一波规模庞大的铜货运潮，预计未来几周将有10-15万吨精炼铜抵达美国，托克、嘉能可和贡渥集团等大宗商品贸易商正将原本计划运往亚洲的大量金属重新转向美国。

美铜关税预期持续发酵，LME注销仓单总量上升，中国部分铜冶炼厂小幅降负运行，美国总统敦促美联储继续降息对冲关税对经济产生的负面影响，多重因素驱动铜价上行；基本面上，中期铜矿供应趋紧预期难以扭转，国内社会库存高位回落，技术面伦铜触及1万美金整数关口，预计铜价短期将保持偏强运行。

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多重利多驱动 铜价偏强运行

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