全球金属市场动态：价格、政策与产量影响

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

全球金属市场动态：价格、政策与产量影响

2025-01-14 10:53:22 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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近期，全球金属市场在多重因素交织下呈现出复杂多变的态势。

一方面，从产量端来看，哈萨克斯坦国家统计局公布的数据意义重大。在精炼铜领域，该国 1 - 11 月产量同比劲增 14.1%，至 423,039 吨，11 月单产 35,352 吨，彰显强劲增长动能，为全球铜供应注入新力量；精炼锌 1 - 11 月同比增长 2.5%，累计达 253,794 吨，单月 23,527 吨，稳固其在锌精炼产业地位；氧化铝及未锻轧铝 1 - 11 月产量同比上扬 7.9%，飙升至 1,651,319 吨，11 月产量 143,408 吨，凸显铝产业分量。这些产量增长动态将重塑全球金属供需格局，影响产业链各环节策略布局。

另一方面，在价格层面，伦敦金属市场周四亮点纷呈。伦敦铜价小幅走高，因市场预期中国 —— 这一最大消费国将出台更多刺激举措，激发买盘热情，不过美元持稳态势限制了涨幅。北京时间 13:43，伦敦金属交易所（LME）三个月期铜上涨 0.46%，报每吨 9,234.5 美元；上海期货交易所（SHFE）活跃的 1 月期铜合约亦上涨 0.08%，报每吨 75,550 美元。当下，市场目光聚焦本周中国重磅会议，此前政府已指明明年要 “实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策”，会议成果料将左右金属市场后续走向。

与此同时，美元走势对金属价格影响深刻。周四美元在上一交易日触及两周高点后窄幅波动，受美债收益率上升支撑，即便市场参与者笃定美联储下周降息。周三数据显示，美国 11 月消费者物价指数（CPI）环比涨 0.3%，为 4 月来最大涨幅，此前连续四月环比涨 0.2%，通胀数据牵动市场神经。据芝加哥商品交易所 FedWatch 工具，市场预计美联储 12 月 17 - 18 日会议降息 25 个基点概率高达 98.6%，一周前为 78.1%，晚些时候公布的生产者价格指数（PPI）将提供更多通胀线索。美元走强使得以美元计价金属对非美元货币持有者成本攀升，抑制需求。

再看其他金属表现，LME 市场上，三个月期铝涨 0.67%，报每吨 2,618.5 美元；期镍涨 1.72%，报每吨 16,130 美元；期锌涨 0.16%，报每吨 3,130.5 美元；期铅跌 0.39%，报每吨 2,035 美元；期锡涨 0.53%，报每吨 30,115 美元。上海金属市场，沪铝小涨 0.88%，报每吨 20,565 元；沪镍大涨 3.16%，报每吨 129,320 元；沪锡涨 1.19%，报每吨 251,720 元；沪锌涨 0.29%，报每吨 25,980 元；沪铅跌 0.88%，报每吨 17,500 元。不同金属受各自供需、宏观政策及市场预期影响，价格走势各异，产业参与者需紧密追踪各类动态，在复杂市场中精准决策，把握机遇、规避风险。

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全球金属市场动态：价格、政策与产量影响

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