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美元走弱下金属市场的多面动态与价格走势

2025-01-15 09:31:23 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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美元市场动态

隔夜，美元指数因通胀数据低于预期而走弱。由于美元计价的商品对于使用其他货币的买家而言成本降低，这一情况为金属价格带来了支撑。截至 1 月 14 日，美元指数呈现震荡下跌态势，衡量其对六种主要货币的美元指数当日跌幅达 0.61%，在汇市尾盘收于 109.260 。在非美货币方面，1 月 14 日欧元兑美元、英镑兑美元汇率上扬，而日元兑美元汇率则出现短线下跌。美国劳工统计局发布的 12 月生产者价格指数（PPI）低于预期，仅环比上涨 0.2%，低于上月的 0.4%。数据公布后，美股三大股指表现各异。当日公布的美国 PPI 数据以及特朗普政府考虑渐进提高关税的报道，有效缓解了市场的通胀担忧情绪，这也是致使美元兑除日元外的一揽子货币走低的关键因素之一。

贵金属市场走势分析

黄金：美元走弱通常会对黄金价格形成一定支撑。鉴于黄金以美元计价，当美元贬值时，其他货币购买黄金的成本相应降低，这会刺激市场对黄金的需求增长，进而推动黄金价格上涨。然而，由于市场对通胀的担忧有所缓解，在一定程度上可能削弱黄金作为通胀对冲工具的吸引力。但总体来说，在美元疲软的背景下，黄金价格大概率会呈现震荡走强或在高位保持稳定的态势。
白银：与黄金类似，美元指数收跌会使白银以美元计价的吸引力下滑，投资者购买白银的成本降低，从而有可能刺激白银需求上升，带动价格上涨。此外，白银在工业领域应用广泛，若市场对经济前景预期向好，工业需求增加，也会对白银价格起到一定的支撑作用。

工业金属市场行情解读

一方面，美元走弱使得以美元计价的大宗商品持有成本降低，从而吸引更多投资者，对工业金属价格产生一定的提振效果。另一方面，特朗普政府考虑渐进提高关税的报道引发了市场对贸易摩擦的担忧，这可能影响全球经济增长预期。不过，若市场认为渐进提高关税对经济的影响有限，隔夜 LME 金属则呈现窄幅波动。其中，伦铜收涨 0.77%，伦铝持平，伦锌收涨 0.26%，伦镍收涨 0.19%，伦锡收跌 1%，伦铅收涨 1.08%。

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