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印尼镍矿供应紧张或致冶炼厂停产

2025-11-25 13:28:48 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：袁梦

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印尼镍业论坛主席近日发表声明，对印尼镍矿供应紧张问题发出警告。他指出，尽管印尼拥有全球45%的镍储量，但其国内矿产供应已无法跟上冶炼厂的快速扩张步伐。如果此问题持续，将导致镍价暴涨，迫使多家冶炼厂停产，并危及电池与电动汽车等下游产业的投资，使印尼错失重要的发展机遇。

这一危机根源在于产业的迅猛发展。自2020年出口禁令实施以来，印尼成功吸引投资，使其镍冶炼产能从2017年的25万吨激增至2024年的近220万吨，并占据了全球60%以上的市场份额。然而，冶炼需求的爆炸式增长与政府将采矿配额有效期从三年缩短至一年的政策，共同加剧了上游供应与下游需求的失衡。

为应对危机，业界呼吁政府优先审批与冶炼厂关联矿山的采矿配额，同时加强勘探和提升采矿能力。当前印尼已大量从菲律宾进口镍矿，且进口量预计将持续增长。分析指出，若缺乏坚实的上游规划，即便在镍资源丰富的印尼，其本土工业也可能持续陷入原材料短缺的困境。

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