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新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年3月18日锌行业价格日报：锌价普跌叠加宏观压制，短期弱势格局难改

2025-03-18 15:39:11 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：杨浩

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一、价格动态

1.锌锭市场

华东地区（上海/宁波/无锡）0#锌锭均价23,835元/吨，日跌190元；华南佛山报价23,920元/吨，跌幅180元，区域跌幅略小于其他地区。

2.锌合金产品

Zamak-3合金华东均价24,810元/吨，跌190元，东莞地区24,590元/吨；

Zamak-5合金宁波地区报24,905元/吨，或受下游压铸企业采购量下滑影响。

3.原料端

锌精矿（50%品位）均价18,940元/金属吨，跌150元；

氧化锌（99.7%）华北/华东报21,750元/吨，跌200元。

二、影响因素分析

1.宏观压制

美联储3月议息会议释放“higher for longer”信号，美元指数反弹至105.2，LME锌价跌破2,600美元/吨；中国1-2月精锌进口量同比降22%，保税区库存增至8.5万吨（年内新高）。

2.供需博弈

供应端：云南、湖南炼厂复产（新增产能12万吨/年），3月精锌产量预计环比增5%；

需求端：镀锌板企业开工率特别回落，光伏支架订单疲软，建筑镀锌需求延迟释放。

3.成本支撑弱化

全球锌精矿TC均价跌至180美元/干吨，但能源成本下降部分抵消压力。

三、市场展望

1.短期（1-2周）：价格或延续弱势震荡，沪锌主力运行区间参考23,500-24,200元/吨；去库速度成关键变量，当前国内社会库存23.7万吨（较年初+18%），需警惕隐性库存释放风险。

2.重点关注：3月中国制造业PMI数据；欧盟《关键原材料法案》对锌的战略储备政策调整；云南炼厂复产进度及环保督察动向。

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