2025年3月18日铝棒市场日报:铝棒市场供需紧平衡态势延续

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年3月18日铝棒市场日报:铝棒市场供需紧平衡态势延续

2025-03-18 16:23:16 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场整体趋势

据行业分析，未来两年中国铝材产量将保持增长态势，预计 2025 年国内铝材产量达 5055 万吨，同比增长 3.2%。其中，电解铝市场整体维持紧平衡状态，电力领域因太阳能基础设施建设加速及可再生能源目标驱动，对铝箔及特种板带材的需求预计将以 11% 的年复合增长率快速增长，为铝棒市场提供重要支撑。

二、供应与产能动态

国内电解铝供应端保持刚性。截至 3 月中旬，国内电解铝建成产能约 4581 万吨，运行产能 4378 万吨，综合开工率达 95.57%。随着西南、北方等地企业复产，预计 3 月底电解铝年化运行产能将提升至 4384 万吨，但受限于国内产能天花板，供应端大幅增长空间有限。

三、区域生产与行业协同

多地铝加工企业加速产能布局。例如，江西凭借资源优势和技术进步，形成了从铝土矿开采到精深加工的完整产业链；晋州则依托完善的产业配套，成为铝方棒生产的重要集聚区。这些区域的产能释放与技术升级，不仅提升了国内铝棒供应能力，也推动了行业整体的协同发展。

四、后市展望

短期内，铝棒市场受供应刚性、库存去化及下游需求回暖等因素支撑，预计将维持震荡偏强格局。长期来看，随着全球新能源产业发展及铝材应用领域拓展，铝棒市场有望进一步受益于技术创新与需求升级，行业集中度和产品附加值料将持续提升。

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2025年3月18日铝棒市场日报:铝棒市场供需紧平衡态势延续

一、市场整体趋势

二、供应与产能动态

三、区域生产与行业协同

四、后市展望

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