2025年5月6日电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年5月6日电解铜市场日报

2025-05-07 10:59:36 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、价格走势

现货价格昨日国内电解铜现货价格稳中有升，上海地区主流品牌报价集中在78,190-78,210元/吨，较前一交易日上涨约160-180元/吨。其中：
- 上海华通现货市场报价78,190元/吨
- 北京市场平水铜均价77,920元/吨，涨幅120元/吨。
期货市场
- 沪铜主力合约（2506）：收盘价77,600元/吨，结算价77,670元/吨，较前一日上涨120元/吨。
- LME铜价：隔夜伦铜上涨1.75%至9,520美元/吨，受美元回落及市场对中国需求改善预期提振。

二、库存变化

国内社会库存
- 截至5月6日，全国电解铜现货库存为13.24万吨，较4月28日下降2.86万吨，其中上海库存降幅最大（9.35万吨，降0.67万吨），广东库存小幅增加0.29万吨。
- 节后库存未出现明显累库，主因冶炼厂发货有限，叠加下游节后补库需求。
LME库存
- LME铜库存减少1,675吨至195,625吨，Cash-3M价差转正至17美元/吨，反映短期供应趋紧。

三、市场动态与供需分析

供应端
- 铜精矿市场延续弱势，TC（加工费）持续下探至-40美元/干吨，矿端供应紧张局面未改。
- 再生铜市场交投回暖，废黄铜价格持稳，但货商库存低位，补库意愿增强。
需求端
- 精铜杆订单量环比下降18.19%，但再生铜杆订单增长74.77%，下游需求分化明显。
- 铜板带、铜箔等加工领域需求偏弱，终端企业因铜价波动较大，备库谨慎。
进出口
- 进口铜现货升水上涨至280-320元/吨（好铜），保税区溢价走强，反映进口需求回暖。

四、宏观与政策影响

国际因素
- 美联储维持利率不变（4.25%-4.50%），市场预期年内降息空间有限，美元指数小幅回落支撑铜价。
- 地缘政治风险（以色列加沙行动）及OPEC+原油增产计划扰动大宗商品市场情绪。
国内政策
- 铜产业高质量发展方案推进，聚焦冶炼产能优化及资源保障，长期利好行业结构。

五、后市展望

短期趋势
- 铜价受宏观情绪与基本面支撑，预计维持高位震荡，沪铜主力合约目标区间78,000-80,000元/吨。
- 需警惕高价抑制下游采购及5月下旬旺季转弱带来的回调风险

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2025年5月6日电解铜市场日报

一、价格走势

二、库存变化

三、市场动态与供需分析

四、宏观与政策影响

五、后市展望

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