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2025年6月3日锌锭市场日报：节后价格小幅下跌

2025-06-03 16:31:32 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：石林

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一、现货市场

（一）国内主要城市锌锭价格

5 月 30 日，无锡 0# 锌锭价格为 22505 元 / 吨，较之前下跌 60 元 / 吨；佛山 0# 锌锭价格 22720 元 / 吨，下跌 140 元 / 吨；上海 0# 锌锭价格 22850 元 / 吨，下跌 60 元 / 吨；宁波 0# 锌锭价格 22860 元 / 吨，当日无涨跌变化。6 月 3 日，1# 锌报价 22580 元 / 吨，较前一日下跌 40 元 / 吨。

（二）区域市场表现

端午假期期间，LME 金属全线上涨，伦锌涨幅达 2.41%，领涨金属板块。但 6 月 3 日国内锌市场表现不佳，锌精矿方面，湖南、广西、云南、河南等地锌精矿（50%）报价均下跌 150 元 / 吨。锌锭市场，华东地区市场均价 24320 元 / 吨，较上一交易日下跌 1.27%，同比上涨 25.12% 。现货市场价格下跌，反映出当前市场供需或存在一定宽松情况。

二、期货市场

6 月 3 日，沪锌 2407 合约开盘价 24890 元 / 吨，结算价 24460 元 / 吨，最高报 25010 元 / 吨，最低报 24120 元 / 吨，收盘价 24180 元 / 吨，较上一交易日下跌 2.38%，成交量 255333 手，持仓量 98370 手。期货价格的大幅下跌，或表明市场投资者对锌价后市预期偏空。

三、行业动态与市场分析

（一）供应端

全球锌矿供应增量预期较高，非洲 Kipushi 高品位锌矿提前投产，俄罗斯 OZ 矿复产推进，中国新疆、云南地区矿山产能也在释放，不过秘鲁 Yauli 矿区和澳大利亚 McArthur River 矿区存在短期减产扰动。锌精矿加工费回升，刺激冶炼厂开工率提升，但矿锭转化受物流和政策影响，锭端增量释放滞后。近期国内矿山复产，进口锌锭持续流入，供应端压力有所增加。

（二）需求端

传统领域需求疲软，镀锌板开工率低于近三年同期，建筑、汽车等终端订单恢复不及预期。虽然国补等政策对家电、基建等领域有一定带动，但新能源汽车对锌需求较低，后续需求增长动力或不足。目前锌消费旺季已过，终端消费转淡，采购意愿不足。

（三）宏观因素

端午假期期间，美股三大指数涨跌不一后小幅上涨，美元指数跌 0.75%，报收于 98.69 ，两油期货均上涨。宏观市场的波动对锌市场情绪有一定影响，美元走弱理论上对金属价格有一定支撑，但锌市场自身供需面因素目前占据主导，使得价格下行。

四、后市展望

短期来看，虽然 LME 锌库存处于低位，且假期伦锌大幅上涨，但国内市场供应相对充足，需求端未见明显好转，锌价或仍面临下行压力。中长期看，随着全球锌矿产能释放，冶炼产能集中投产，库存有累库预期，锌价上方空间受限。不过，若后续宏观经济超预期改善，需求端出现明显回升，锌价走势可能得到扭转。

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2025年6月3日锌锭市场日报： 节后价格小幅下跌