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2025年6月5日锂市场行情：过剩压力延续，价格表现分化

2025-06-05 18:08:48 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：杨浩

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一、市场综述

今日国内锂市场呈现分化态势，锂矿、金属锂价格维稳，锂化合物中部分氢氧化锂品类价格下行，其余暂稳。当前市场受供需格局主导，供应端过剩压力延续，需求端虽有新能源汽车、储能支撑，但增速放缓，叠加库存高位，价格波动呈现结构性特征。

二、各环节价格动态

（一）锂矿

今日锂矿价格全线持稳。锂辉石精矿（6%）报613美元/吨；非洲产锂辉石因品位（3.0-6.0%区间）差异，价格在620-875元/吨度区间；磷锂铝石（6.0-8.0%）价格855-915元/吨度；江西锂云母精矿（1.5-3.0%）价格375-625元/吨度。

当前锂矿供应宽松，海外矿山与国内云母提锂产能释放，需求端增速有限，价格暂处平稳区间。

（二）锂化合物

锂化合物价格分化。碳酸锂、电解液，以及六氟磷酸锂品种，价格较前日持平；氢氧化锂各品种价格下跌600元/吨。

（三）金属锂

金属锂价格维稳，电池级金属锂（≥99.9%）560000元/吨，工业级金属锂（≥99.9%）530000元/吨。因生产工艺复杂、成本稳定，价格暂未随氢氧化锂变动。

三、市场驱动与行业动态

（一）核心驱动

供给端：全球锂资源供应过剩延续，2025年海外低成本锂辉石矿山（如澳洲格林布什矿）、南美盐湖产能集中释放，国内云母提锂因成本高企减产，行业向低成本产能倾斜。

需求端：动力电池受新能源汽车补贴退坡、海外贸易政策（如欧盟反补贴）影响，增速从两位数降至个位数，储能虽高景气但占比低（约15-20%），难以对冲动力端疲软，致部分锂化合物（如氢氧化锂）价格承压。

（二）行业动态

新能源汽车：5月国内新能源汽车销量增速放缓，补贴退坡、车市竞争加剧致终端需求疲软，传导至上游锂化合物采购，氢氧化锂因在高镍三元电池中应用占比高，受冲击更明显。

储能领域：虽保持高增长（国内增速预计超80%），但当前对锂需求占比低，短期难扭转过剩格局，对价格支撑有限。

回收端：锂回收技术逐步成熟，但当前回收产能占比低（约10-15%），对原生锂矿替代效应尚未显现，暂未改变供需结构。

（三）后市展望

锂矿、金属锂价格或延续平稳，碳酸锂因需求刚性、库存去化慢，大概率维持当前水平；氢氧化锂受库存及需求拖累，或继续小幅下行。

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