2025年1月15日锌行情日报：锌市今日现颓势，下游逢低少量入手，交投寡淡

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年1月15日锌行情日报：锌市今日现颓势，下游逢低少量入手，交投寡淡

2025-01-16 09:00:32 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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市场总结

上海地区：普通国产品牌对沪锌 2502 合约升水 455 元 / 吨，现货成交价 24,430 元 / 吨，较前一日跌 390 元 / 吨。升贴水集中在 425-465 元 / 吨，较前一日跌 150 元 / 吨。市场交投弱，下游少量采购，主要是贸易商间交易，贸易商多次调价促成交。

天津地区：普通国产品牌现货成交价 24,455 元 / 吨，较前一日涨 480 元 / 吨。0# 紫金对沪锌 2502 合约升水 450-500 元 / 吨。市场成交一般，锌价破位下跌，到货量少，现货流通紧张，下游厂家陆续放假，需求减弱，升水小幅下跌。

佛山地区：主流品牌报价 24,550 元 / 吨，较前一日跌 330 元 / 吨。沪粤价差反转，粤市跌幅小于沪市，0# 麒麟、驰宏锌锗、蒙自对沪锌 2502 合约升水 460-480 元 / 吨。下游询价少，持货商出货积极，靠少量刚需成交。

明日升水下行预测原因分析

需求端因素

整体需求疲软：春节临近，下游企业陆续放假，无论是镀锌厂、氧化锌厂家还是锌合金厂家，开工率都在下降，对锌的采购需求大幅减少。比如天津市场，下游厂家放假使得需求减弱，导致升水已经开始小幅下跌，这种趋势在后续还会持续。

采购意愿不强：市场交投氛围清淡，下游企业多以刚需采购为主，对升水的接受度降低，使得升水缺乏支撑，有下行压力。像上海市场，下游少量逢低采购，难以支撑较高的升水水平。

供应端因素

到货预期增加：虽然当前天津市场到货量少，但随着时间推移，运输等因素的影响下，后续可能会有更多的锌锭到货，供应紧张局面会得到缓解，升水将受到抑制。上海市场此前就曾因现货量增多出现过升水下跌的情况，若后续到货持续增加，升水下行趋势会更明显。

产能释放预期：1 月份部分炼厂有提产计划，内蒙、云南、河南和湖南等地炼厂排产增加，四川、广西、广东等地炼厂也存在复产增量，供应的增加会使市场上锌锭的可流通量增多，从而导致升水下行。

市场情绪及其他因素

锌价走势影响：锌价破位下跌，市场看空情绪较浓，贸易商和下游企业都更加谨慎，采购积极性不高，贸易商为了出货可能会进一步降低升水。

宏观经济影响：美元指数高位对有色走势有压制，宏观经济对锌市的支撑不足，市场整体表现较为疲软，也会使得升水难以维持在较高水平。

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2025年1月15日锌行情日报：锌市今日现颓势，下游逢低少量入手，交投寡淡

市场总结

天津地区：普通国产品牌现货成交价 24,455 元 / 吨，较前一日涨 480 元 / 吨。0# 紫金对沪锌 2502 合约升水 450-500 元 / 吨。市场成交一般，锌价破位下跌，到货量少，现货流通紧张，下游厂家陆续放假，需求减弱，升水小幅下跌。

佛山地区：主流品牌报价 24,550 元 / 吨，较前一日跌 330 元 / 吨。沪粤价差反转，粤市跌幅小于沪市，0# 麒麟、驰宏锌锗、蒙自对沪锌 2502 合约升水 460-480 元 / 吨。下游询价少，持货商出货积极，靠少量刚需成交。

明日升水下行预测原因分析

需求端因素

采购意愿不强：市场交投氛围清淡，下游企业多以刚需采购为主，对升水的接受度降低，使得升水缺乏支撑，有下行压力。像上海市场，下游少量逢低采购，难以支撑较高的升水水平。

供应端因素

产能释放预期：1 月份部分炼厂有提产计划，内蒙、云南、河南和湖南等地炼厂排产增加，四川、广西、广东等地炼厂也存在复产增量，供应的增加会使市场上锌锭的可流通量增多，从而导致升水下行。

市场情绪及其他因素

锌价走势影响：锌价破位下跌，市场看空情绪较浓，贸易商和下游企业都更加谨慎，采购积极性不高，贸易商为了出货可能会进一步降低升水。

宏观经济影响：美元指数高位对有色走势有压制，宏观经济对锌市的支撑不足，市场整体表现较为疲软，也会使得升水难以维持在较高水平。

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