2025年7月7日电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年7月7日电解铜市场日报

2025-07-07 18:03:42 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、今日价格概况

今日国内电解铜价格延续强劲上涨态势，主要城市报价均创近三个月新高。据北方有色网数据，7月7日中国主要城市电解铜（标准阴极铜）价格及涨幅如下（单位：元/吨）：

城市	价格	涨跌
天津	79630	+770
沈阳	79670	+780
北京	79790	+770
西安	79750	+740
广州	79705	+790
重庆	79870	+790
武汉	79945	+730
济南	79655	+760
上海	79840	+760

注：价格为当日15:00基准报价，涨跌幅较上一交易日（7月4日）结算价计算。

二、市场核心驱动因素

宏观面：内外共振支撑风险偏好
- 国内：6月制造业PMI录得51.2%（环比上升0.3个百分点），连续三个月位于扩张区间，显示稳增长政策（如基建投资加码、新能源产业支持）已逐步见效，制造业需求回升带动铜消费改善。
- 国际：美元指数（DXY）昨日下跌0.8%至99.2，创两个月新低；LME铜价收盘报9850美元/吨（涨2.1%），主要受美元走弱及市场对美联储降息预期升温推动，带动国内沪铜期货主力合约（2510）今日上涨1.8%至79500元/吨，持仓量增加5.2%，多头情绪浓厚。
供需端：需求超预期+供应紧平衡
- 需求端：
  - 新能源领域：6月国内新能源汽车产量达92万辆（同比增长35%），动力电池用铜量环比增加8%；光伏装机量同比增长42%，光伏组件用铜需求持续释放。
  - 传统行业：家电（空调、冰箱）产量6月环比增长5%，汽车（燃油车+电动车）产量环比增长3%，电力电网建设投资同比增长12%，均对铜材采购量形成支撑。
- 供应端：国内电解铜产量6月约为95万吨（同比增长2%），但部分炼厂因设备检修（如江西某大型炼厂减产10%）导致供应略有收缩；进口铜方面，因人民币兑美元汇率走强（今日中间价报7.02），进口成本下降，本月进口量预计增加5%，但仍难以完全满足需求增长。
库存与情绪：去库明显+多头入场
- 上海期货交易所（SHFE）铜库存本周骤降10%至8.2万吨，创今年2月以来新低，显示终端需求旺盛，库存消化速度加快；
- 现货市场成交活跃，今日长江有色市场铜现货升水扩大至150-200元/吨（昨日为100-150元/吨），说明贸易商及下游企业采购积极性高。

三、后市展望

短期内，国内电解铜价格仍将受需求支撑+国际价格传导推动，或维持小幅上涨态势，核心关注以下变量：

向上驱动：若7月制造业PMI继续扩张、新能源需求保持高增，或推动价格向80000元/吨整数关口冲刺；
潜在风险：需警惕美联储7月议息会议是否会调整降息预期（若加息预期升温，美元走强可能压制铜价），以及国内房地产投资是否能持续回暖（地产用铜占比约15%）。

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2025年7月7日电解铜市场日报

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