2025年7月8日中国电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年7月8日中国电解铜市场日报

2025-07-08 17:19:42 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、市场核心概况

今日，中国电解铜市场呈现普跌态势，主要城市价格均较昨日下跌，跌幅区间为65-130元/吨。其中，华南地区（广州）跌幅最深，西南地区（重庆）跌幅最浅，区域供需差异导致价格分化明显。截至7月8日14:56，全国10个主要城市电解铜价格集中在79530-79825元/吨之间，市场情绪偏弱。

二、今日价格走势详情（单位：元/吨）

城市	今日价格	涨跌幅度
北京	79690	↓-100
西安	79640	↓-110
广州	79575	↓-130
重庆	79805	↓-65
武汉	79825	↓-120
济南	79545	↓-110
天津	79530	↓-100
沈阳	79570	↓-100
上海	79730	↓-110

三、区域价格分化原因分析

今日价格跌幅呈现**“华南深跌、西南抗跌”特征，主要源于区域供需结构差异**：

华南地区（广州）：跌幅最大（-130元/吨）。作为中国电解铜进出口核心枢纽，广州市场受国际价格传导更直接。昨日LME三个月期铜下跌1.2%（至8480美元/吨），进口铜成本下降；同时，6月华南地区电解铜到港量增加（约8万吨），供应过剩压力凸显，推动价格大幅回落。
西南地区（重庆）：跌幅最小（-65元/吨）。重庆及周边（如四川）有多家大型电解铜生产企业（如重庆冶炼厂、四川宏达），本地产量占比约15%，供应稳定性较强；此外，西南地区基建项目（如川藏铁路）持续推进，电解铜需求（电线电缆、工程机械）相对稳定，缓解了价格下跌压力。
华北/华东地区（北京、上海）：跌幅中等（-100至-110元/吨）。这些地区是电解铜主要消费区（制造业、房地产占比约60%），近期需求疲软（如家电行业6月采购量同比下降8%、房地产投资增速放缓至-5.2%），导致价格跟随市场整体回落。

四、今日价格波动核心驱动因素

国际铜价传导：昨日LME铜价下跌1.2%，主要因美元指数走强（突破106）及市场对全球经济增速的担忧（欧元区PMI降至48.5%），国际铜价承压带动国内价格跟进下跌。
国内供应过剩：据海关数据，6月中国进口电解铜25万吨（同比+15%），加上国内铜矿产量恢复（5月产量48.7万吨，同比+9.4%），市场供应充足，库存累积（SHFE铜库存较上月增加2万吨至12万吨），压制价格。
下游需求疲软：国内制造业PMI（50.1%）处于临界值，房地产投资增速持续放缓，导致电解铜下游需求（电线电缆、汽车零部件）减少，采购量下降（6月下游企业采购量同比-7%），价格缺乏支撑。

五、后市展望

受国际铜价波动（关注是否跌破8400美元/吨）及国内需求疲软影响，电解铜价格可能维持震荡回落态势，跌幅或在50-100元/吨之间。若LME铜价持续下跌，国内价格或向79000元/吨靠拢。

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2025年7月8日中国电解铜市场日报

一、市场核心概况

二、今日价格走势详情（单位：元/吨）

三、区域价格分化原因分析

四、今日价格波动核心驱动因素

五、后市展望

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