基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年1月15日铜日报

2025-01-17 16:17:29 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：徐力

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一、市场总结

上海期铜价格小幅下跌。主力合约2503，以75250元/吨收盘，下跌170元,跌幅为0.23%。全部合约成交116698手,持仓量减少5397手至411029手。主力合约成交47252手,持仓量增加1929手至149896手。

今日国内现货铜价格小跌。1#铜价报75600元/吨，跌40元，升水220-升水260，跌20元；长江综合1#铜价报75495元/吨，跌90元，升水60-升水170，跌120元；广东现货1#铜价报75400元/吨，跌180元，贴水80-升水120，跌210元；上海地区1#铜价报75490元/吨，跌50元，升水90-升水170，跌30元。

二、基本面分析

国内A股三大股指集体回落，商品市场氛围转空，美元指数反弹上行，给铜价带来上行压力。

沪铜价格上涨后下游需求减弱，今日现货对 2 月升水回落到 40 元。华南因跨区调货到货，升水已跌至零。下游订单已转弱，改为消化库存，为放假做准备。废铜面临节后反向开票逐步执行的问题，持货商选择消化库存，废铜供需两弱。

三、市场预测

现货随着下游逐步

开始放假，供需两淡，当前主要矛盾是库存极端低位，原料端紧张加剧导致炼厂减产幅度较大，淡季价格压力不大，市场价格走势偏强。

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