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2025 年7月11日锌市场日报

2025-07-11 17:50:15 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：石林

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一、价格走势总览

二、市场影响因素推测
（一）供需层面
下游消费端的强劲表现依旧是推动锌锭价格上涨的关键因素。镀锌、压铸等行业开工率持续提升，企业为满足生产需求，采购锌锭的意愿愈发强烈。这种旺盛的采购需求直接拉动了现货市场，使得市场上锌锭的需求大于供应。与此同时，冶炼端的供应并未随着需求的增加而显著放量，导致市场供需格局进一步向卖方倾斜。在这种情况下，卖方在交易中拥有更强的定价权，从而推动锌锭价格不断走高。
（二）宏观及外围
大宗商品市场整体氛围持续偏暖，锌锭期货市场表现优异，为现货市场注入了积极情绪。期货价格的上涨带动了市场参与者对锌锭后市的乐观预期，贸易商惜售挺价的行为更加明显。他们减少了现货的投放量，期望在未来以更高的价格出售，这进一步加剧了市场上锌锭的供不应求局面，对锌锭价格上涨起到了推波助澜的作用。
三、后市展望
短期内，若下游行业需求端能够延续当前的回暖态势，例如镀锌、压铸等行业的开工率持续保持高位，企业的采购需求依旧旺盛，并且市场的乐观情绪得以延续，那么锌锭价格有望继续保持上行趋势。

然而，市场仍然存在诸多不确定因素。首先，需要密切关注下游行业的实际开工进展情况。如果开工率提升不及预期，或者企业因各种原因减少采购量，那么需求对价格的支撑作用将会减弱，锌锭价格的涨势可能会受到限制。其次，期货市场的波动也不容忽视。期货价格与现货价格紧密相连，若期货走势出现反转，将会迅速传导至现货市场，影响市场参与者的情绪和交易行为，进而对锌锭现货价格产生负面影响。最后，冶炼企业的产能释放情况也至关重要。若冶炼企业大幅增加锌锭的产量，市场的供需格局将发生改变，供大于求的局面可能会导致锌锭价格涨势出现调整，甚至出现价格回落的情况。

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