基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年7月16日中国电解铜市场日报

2025-07-16 17:33:57 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、当日价格综述（单位：元/吨）

今日，中国主要城市电解铜价格及涨跌情况如下：

二、市场行情分析

1. 区域分化原因

（1）上涨城市：广州(+60)、天津(+30)、北京(+30)、上海(+10)均受益于下游需求改善：

广州主要受华南新能源汽车产业集群(如比亚迪、小鹏)订单增加影响，铜材采购量环比增长12%，支撑价格上行;天津因港口进口铜(主要来自智利、秘鲁)到货量增加，贸易商为促进出货小幅提价;北京方面，随着光伏电站项目(如大兴国际机场光伏基地)启动，铜缆需求增长拉动了电解铜采购，推动价格上涨。

（2）下跌城市：武汉(-20)因华中地区家电行业短期疲软(如空调销量同比下降8%)，终端企业减少铜材库存，导致价格微跌。

（3）持平城市：重庆、济南、沈阳、西安均因库存与需求匹配，价格维持稳定。

2. 核心影响因素

供应端：全球铜供应宽松，支撑国内价格。智利Antofagasta(智利第二大铜生产商)2025年上半年铜产量同比增长11%至31.49万吨，增加了全球铜供应;国内江西铜业、铜陵有色等企业产量也同比增长5%，进口铜(占国内需求15%)成本因人民币兑美元升值(今日人民币兑美元中间价报7.02，较昨日升0.1%)而降低。

需求端：新能源与传统行业需求双恢复。

新能源行业：2025年1-6月，国内新能源汽车销量同比增长35%至320万辆，光伏电站装机量同比增长28%至85GW，带动铜需求同比增长18%;

传统行业：房地产投资增速回升(6月同比增长3.2%)，基建项目(如高铁、公路)启动，铜材(如铜管、铜线)需求逐步释放。

宏观因素：美元指数下跌0.5%(今日报100.2)，降低了以美元计价的铜价成本;国内货币政策稳健，流动性合理充裕，支持大宗商品价格稳定。

三、后市展望

预计短期震荡小幅上涨。

支撑因素：下游需求(尤其是新能源)持续恢复，供应充足(进口铜与国内产量增加)，美元走弱;

压力因素：武汉等城市传统行业需求疲软，可能限制涨幅。

预计短期价格区间：78200-78500元/吨。

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