基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年1月20日铜市场报告

2025-01-20 16:56:05 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场总结

上海期铜价格下跌。主力合约2503，以75400元/吨收盘，下跌980元,跌幅为1.28%。全部合约成交166591手,持仓量减少17107手至409976手。主力合约成交83330手,持仓量减少10941手至159849手。

今日国内现货铜价格大跌。日内主流平水铜对当月合约报40元/吨-升水60元/吨，好铜报升水60元/吨-升水90元/吨。据SMM了解上周末上海地区持续去库，国产货源到货偏少，进口方面除常规到港量外仅部分LME cancel货源运至华东。需求方面节前下游消费冷清，备库情绪一般。预计明日现货升水仍将下行。

二、基本面分析

美元走强及特朗普就职典礼在即，加沙停火降低市场风险偏好，风险情绪回落，对铜等金属价格构成压力。

现货市场放假氛围浓重，市场进口及国产铜资源陆续到港，持货商持库压力增大，加上盘面走弱，现货升水承压继续向下调整。不过下游未完全进入放假状态仍存有少量补货需求，贸易商月底前也还要接货交单，需求端存有弱支撑，带动交投消化部分低价货源。

三、市场预测

下游陆续进入春节放假模式，刚需备货情况不理想，市场谨慎情绪升温遏制现货成交，促使库存重拾累积姿态，铜价基本面偏弱。

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