2025年7月21日电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年7月21日电解铜市场日报

2025-07-21 17:47:09 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、市场概况

今日国内电解铜市场大幅走强，现货价格普遍上涨，涨幅区间为730-810元/吨。全国9个主要城市电解铜均价约为79569元/吨(较昨日上涨约783元/吨)，创近1个月以来新高。其中，武汉、济南、上海涨幅居前(+810元/吨)，广州涨幅最小(+730元/吨)，整体呈现“普涨”格局。

二、区域价格明细(单位：元/吨)

三、价格上涨驱动因素

今日电解铜价格大幅上涨，主要受国际铜价拉动、供应端收缩、需求端复苏三大因素支撑：

1. 国际铜价走强，带动国内期货与现货

今日伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜价开盘报9200美元/吨，盘中最高涨至9350美元/吨，涨幅约1.6%;国内沪铜主力合约(2510)收盘价报79800元/吨，较昨日上涨800元/吨。国际铜价的走强，为国内现货市场提供了成本支撑，推动贸易商上调报价。

2. 供应端：国内电解铜产量收缩

据国内主要铜矿企业(江西铜业、铜陵有色)今日披露的6月产量数据，电解铜产量较5月下降2%(约1.2万吨)，主要原因是铜矿原料供应不足——进口铜矿数量较上月减少5%(受秘鲁、智利等主产国天气因素影响)，导致国内电解铜产能利用率下降至85%(正常水平约90%)，市场供应趋于紧张。

3. 需求端：下游行业采购量增加

进入夏季施工旺季，下游家电、汽车、基建行业对铜的需求明显复苏：其中，家电企业(如海尔、美的)今日采购量较上周增加15%，主要用于空调、冰箱等产品生产;汽车行业(如比亚迪、特斯拉)采购量亦较上周增加10%，用于新能源汽车电池与电机的制造;基建项目(如公路、桥梁)因夏季施工加速，铜电缆采购量较上月增加8%。

四、市场参与者反应

1. 贸易商：挺价意愿强烈

天津、上海等地贸易商表示，今日报价较昨日上调700-800元/吨，且惜售情绪浓厚——部分贸易商仅接受大额订单(≥50吨)，中小客户需排队提货。原因是“预计未来价格仍将上涨，不愿过早出货”。

2. 下游企业：按需采购，观望情绪渐起

家电企业因生产计划紧张，不得不增加采购量，但表示“若价格继续上涨，将考虑调整产品价格或减少铜使用量”;汽车企业则采取“按需采购”策略，避免库存积压，部分企业已开始寻找铜替代品(如铝);而基建企业由于项目合同已锁定价格，采购量未受明显影响，但表示“担心未来价格上涨增加成本”。

五、后市展望

1. 短期(1-3天)：价格或继续小幅上涨

预计明日(7月22日)电解铜价格将继续上涨50-100元/吨，主要支撑因素包括国际铜价仍在高位运行(LME铜价有望突破9400美元/吨)、国内供应紧张局面未缓解(铜矿原料仍短缺)以及下游需求仍在复苏(夏季施工旺季未结束)。

2. 风险因素

不过，需警惕以下风险：若美联储加息预期升温、美元走强，LME铜价可能回调，拖累国内电解铜价格;若秘鲁、智利等国铜矿产量恢复，进口铜矿数量增加，国内电解铜供应将缓解，价格可能回落;若家电、汽车行业销售数据不佳，采购量减少，价格也可能受到压制。

总结：今日电解铜市场大幅上涨，主要受国际铜价、供应端与需求端的共同推动。短期价格仍将保持强势，但需关注国际铜价与国内供需变化。下游企业可考虑锁定长期订单，避免价格波动风险。

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2025年7月21日电解铜市场日报

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