基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2024年12月31日铜市场行情分析

2025-01-14 09:09:15 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场总结

上海期铜价格小幅下跌。主力合约2502，以73770元/吨收盘，下跌400元,跌幅为0.54%。当日15：00伦敦三月铜报价8911.50美元/吨，上海与伦敦的内外比值为8.28，高于上一交易日8.25，上海期铜跌幅小于伦敦市场。全部合约成交134138手,持仓量增加9335手至386348手。主力合约成交59990手,持仓量增加5387手至153745手。

今日国内现货铜价格续跌，现货铜报价73950元/吨，跌380元，升水90-升水130，持平。

二、基本面分析

宏观方面，美元表现强势，美国债券收益率节节攀升，带动市场避险情绪升温。同时，投资者削减对风险资产看多情绪，这给包括铜在内的大宗金属商品价格带来更大的下行压力。

现货市场成交情绪依然不佳。多数商家选择降价刺激销售，加之进口货源数量增多，市场供给充足，现货升水承压下行。而下游需求释放乏力，入市刚需采买量不足，交投走弱。

三、明日预测

目前铜价弱势震荡，岁末年关，下游需求走弱，开工率逐步下降，带动升水弱势回调。加之进口窗口的开启致进口资源增加，供需关系出现过剩现象，铜价承压，难以出现上涨行情。

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