基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年1月2日铜市场行情分析

2025-01-14 09:08:21 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场总结

上海期铜价格小幅下跌。开盘后，沪铜价格大跳水，盘中走势疲软，走势偏空。主力合约2502，以73280元/吨收盘，下跌520元,跌幅为0.70%。全部合约成交105988手,持仓量增加8288手至394638手。主力合约成交48466手,持仓量增加2897手至156644手。

今日国内现货铜价格续跌，现货铜价报73510元/吨，跌390元，升水160-升水200，涨70元；广东现货1#铜价报73430元/吨，跌460元，升水10-升水210，持平；上海地区1#铜价报73460元/吨，跌360，升水70-升水150，涨1000元。

二、基本面分析

宏观方面，美元表现持续偏强，美债收益率走高，对于铜价有一定的压制。国内政策表态偏积极，现实数据的改善仍需验证。

供需面来看，铜矿加工费维持低位，粗铜加工费回落，精废价差维持低位，原料供应依然紧张，且历史新低的长单TC提升远期供应端风险；需求端随着终端需求淡季来临，下游补库意愿有所减弱，库存去化放缓。

三、明日预测

年底下游需求偏淡，而供应相对正常，供需基本面延续偏弱，海外现货供需偏宽松。总体预计铜价反弹空间相对受限。

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