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当前位置：北方有色网 > 有色市场 > 日报 > 2025年7月29日电解铜市场日报

第二届攀西矿产资源会议固态电池产业发展报告（2025） 2025 先进涂层材料及表面处理技术研讨会钨产业发展报告（2025）硒产业发展报告（2025）锌产业发展报告（2025）

2025年7月29日电解铜市场日报

2025-07-29 18:05:04 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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今日市场概述： 7月29日，国内电解铜市场延续弱势格局，各主要城市价格均出现不同程度下跌，市场情绪受需求担忧主导，成交清淡。

一、今日价格走势

今日国内电解铜价格呈现普跌态势，涵盖西安、广州、重庆、武汉、济南、天津、沈阳、北京、上海九大核心城市，具体数据如下：

价格区间：上海价格最高（79700元/吨），西安价格最低（79600元/吨），价差100元/吨；

跌幅分布：重庆跌幅最大（-50元/吨），武汉跌幅最小（-10元/吨），其余城市跌幅集中在20-45元/吨之间（详见下表）。

二、行情分析

今日下跌主要受供需矛盾加剧及宏观因素压制双重影响。具体来看，需求端疲软是核心拖累：近期国内宏观经济数据不及预期（7月PMI为50.1，较上月微降0.2），下游制造业如家电、汽车、新能源需求持续疲软，据调研，家电企业本月电解铜采购量较上月减少15%，新能源电池厂因终端车辆销量增速放缓亦收缩原材料采购规模，导致市场需求端支撑不足。同时，供应端呈现“量增价跌”格局，进一步加剧供需矛盾：铜矿进口量回升（6月铜矿砂及其精矿进口量为210万吨，同比增长8%，创年内新高），国内主要电解铜冶炼厂开工率维持在85%以上，部分企业甚至满负荷运行，市场供应持续释放。此外，宏观因素亦拖累价格：美元指数近期反弹至94.5（创三周新高），以美元计价的大宗商品价格承压，电解铜作为“工业金属之王”，多头入场意愿低迷。

三、后市展望

短期内，电解铜市场弱势震荡格局或将持续，需关注以下因素：一是需求修复信号，若下游行业（如基建、新能源）出现订单回升（如8月基建投资增速反弹），或政策端出台稳增长措施（如加大制造业贷款支持），将缓解需求担忧，为价格提供支撑；二是供应收缩预期，若铜矿进口量因国际矿商检修（如智利Escondida矿计划9月检修）出现下降，或冶炼厂因环保政策限制开工率，供应端压力将有所缓解；三是库存变化，上海期货交易所（SHFE）电解铜库存当前为12万吨，较上月增加2万吨，若库存持续累积，将进一步压制价格。

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2025年7月29日电解铜市场日报

一、今日价格走势

二、行情分析

三、后市展望

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