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2025 年8月5日锌价格日报

2025-08-05 17:44:34 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：石林

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一、价格概述

二、影响因素分析

(一)需求端

行业开工率与订单情况：下游镀锌、压铸等行业近期表现不佳。前期开工率短暂回升后，增速已明显放缓。部分企业已完成积压订单，在当前锌锭价格波动下行的情况下，采购需求愈发疲软。比如一些小型镀锌企业，由于前期高价采购锌锭导致成本增加，在价格回调阶段，为避免库存贬值风险，选择谨慎采购，仅按需补货。

企业观望情绪：前期锌锭成本推高，如今价格回调，使得企业普遍持观望态度。他们在等待价格进一步企稳或者出现更有利的采购时机，这种观望心态极大地抑制了需求端对价格的支撑作用，导致市场交易活跃度下降。

(二)供应端

冶炼企业生产：冶炼企业生产状况保持稳定，产能释放节奏未发生改变。各大锌锭冶炼厂的设备运行正常，未出现因设备故障或检修导致的减产情况，持续向市场稳定输出锌锭。

库存与物流：虽然港口库存处于较低水平，但得益于顺畅的物流运输体系，货源流通并未受阻。市场上锌锭供应充足，在需求减弱的情况下，供过于求的局面更加明显，从而对锌锭价格形成了较强的压制，使得价格上涨动力不足。

三、后市展望

短期内，锌锭价格走势充满不确定性。

需求端：若下游企业能够逐渐消化观望情绪，恢复正常的采购节奏，尤其是在镀锌、压铸等行业开工率回升，对锌锭的需求增加，那么锌锭价格将获得有力支撑，甚至可能止跌企稳。反之，若需求持续低迷，企业继续维持低采购量，锌锭价格则可能继续下行。

供应端：如果冶炼企业维持现有产能，且港口库存无明显变化，在需求不足的情况下，锌锭价格难以上涨。但倘若出现冶炼企业意外减产，如因环保政策收紧、原料供应短缺等原因，或者港口库存大幅减少，例如因物流受阻导致货物运输不畅，市场供应减少，锌锭价格则可能迎来反弹。

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