2025年8月15日电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年8月15日电解铜市场日报

2025-08-15 15:51:54 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、中国主要城市电解铜价格集体下跌

2025年8月15日，中国主要城市电解铜价格集体下跌，全国均价约79,050元/吨（含税），较前一交易日下跌约230元/吨，各城市价格区间在78,930-79,320元/吨之间，跌幅从195元/吨到280元/吨不等，其中西安以79,320元/吨的价格居首，广州则以78,980元/吨成为价格最低的城市，且跌幅最大，达280元/吨。

二、价格下跌核心逻辑：供给过剩与需求疲软叠加压制

今日电解铜价格下跌的核心原因在于供给过剩与需求疲软的双重挤压，同时国际铜价的传导也加剧了这一走势：国内方面，2025年上半年铜矿产量同比增长6.8%，江西、云南等主产区的产能释放（如江西铜业德兴铜矿扩建、云南铜业文山项目）带动产量提升，而6-7月从智利、秘鲁的电解铜进口量同比增长12%，因国际铜价（LME铜价约9,200美元/吨，折人民币约78,500元/吨）低于国内，进口利润驱动贸易商增加采购；需求端，房地产市场持续低迷（1-7月房地产投资同比下降5.2%）导致建筑用铜（电线电缆、 plumbing）需求减少，家电行业采购量也较去年同期下降3.8%，而新能源行业虽长期需求支撑，但近期电池企业因库存消化周期延长，暂时减少了铜材采购，导致新能源用铜需求环比下降4.5%（7月数据）；国际市场上，8月14日LME三个月期铜收于9,180美元/吨，较前一日下跌1.2%，美元指数走强（美元兑人民币中间价报7.18）削弱了以美元计价的铜价吸引力，同时LME铜库存升至15万吨（创2024年10月以来新高），反映全球供给过剩压力，进一步压制国内价格。

三、地区价格分化：新能源需求支撑中西部，进口因素拖累沿海

地区价格差异主要源于需求结构与物流成本的不同：西安作为中西部新能源产业核心城市（比亚迪西安工厂产能达70万辆/年），新能源用铜需求支撑当地价格，且沿海到中西部的运输成本较高，使得西安价格居首；广州作为沿海进口枢纽，进口铜占比约30%，受国际价格下跌影响更直接，此外广州出口导向型企业（如电子、玩具）因海外需求疲软，铜材采购量减少，加剧了价格下跌，导致其跌幅最大。

四、后市展望：短期弱势震荡难改，长期依赖需求修复

后市来看，短期若供给继续增加（国内产量+进口）而需求未明显改善（房地产、新能源短期调整），铜价可能维持弱势震荡，区间或在78,500-79,500元/吨；长期来看，新能源行业（电池、光伏）长期需求增长（预计2025年全球新能源用铜需求增长15%）叠加国内稳增长政策（如房地产放松、基建投资），铜价或有反弹空间，但需警惕供给超预期（如智利铜矿罢工结束）的风险。

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2025年8月15日电解铜市场日报

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