基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年2月13日铝棒日报

2025-02-13 16:21:25 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场价格

今日佛山铝棒市场价格分化。其中，Φ90/100 规格铝棒报价 20740 元 / 吨，加工费 200 元 / 吨；Φ120/127/150/152/178 规格铝棒报价 20690 元 / 吨，加工费 150 元 / 吨。从近期整体铝价走势来看，呈现出小幅下移态势，加工费也处于趋弱盘整阶段。

二、市场供需

供应：春节期间，国内再生铝棒厂内成品库存累计至年内最高点。部分再生铝棒生产企业节后复产时间在 2 月 4 日，部分集中在 2 月 7 - 13 日，大部分企业复产时间视市场行情待定。因节前市场需求提前萎靡，企业提前放假居多，库存积压较多。而大部分铝水棒厂家春节期间依旧正常生产，节后市场铝棒供应较为充足。
需求：节后下游铝型材企业从正月初七开始陆续复工复产，但目前仍有部分加工企业处于半休市状态。节前下游新接订单有限，铝棒库存备货量相对有限。不过随着复工推进，需求有逐步释放的预期，但当前铝价高位，需求跟进不足，下游采买积极性欠缺。

三、库存情况

截至 2 月 10 日，国内铝库存（铝锭 + 铝棒）总量为 104.25 万吨，较节后第一日（2 月 5 日）增加 9 万吨（增幅 9.4%），较节前（1 月 27 日）增加 31.3 万吨。其中铝棒库存从 29.15 万吨增至 31.15 万吨，增加 2 万吨。2 月 11 日，广东铝棒库存 13.64 万吨，无锡铝棒库存 6.45 万吨，共计减少 0.01 万吨。

四、市场交易

今日现货交投虽存在不同声音，但整体反馈欠佳。由于铝价高位，需求跟进不足，加之市场货源众多，下游采买积极性欠缺，压价砍价力度显著。不过得益于工业型材特别是汽车板块厂家的提前复工，近一周国内铝型材行业整体开工率达到 61.3%，较前期呈现显著回升态势，一定程度上提振市场成交情绪。

五、后市展望

当前铝市场处于 “低库存、弱需求、高政策敏感性” 的博弈阶段。国内库累库速度与历史同期相比仍较温和，但近期成本端支撑减弱和海外政策扰动，如美国宣布将对进口钢铁和铝加征 25% 的新关税，可能导致全球贸易流向调整，加剧期铝价格震荡，铝价短期或维持震荡回落格局。预计 2 月沪铝主力合约短期参考区间为 20300 - 20900 元 / 吨。建议市场参与者密切关注下游复工进度、电解铝成本变化及宏观政策落地后的市场反应，合理调整采购和销售策略。

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