基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
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新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年8月27日电解铜市场日报

2025-08-27 17:40:18 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、市场综述

今日（8月27日）中国电解铜市场呈现弱势调整格局，多数主要城市价格出现不同程度下跌，仅重庆小幅上涨，广州维持持平。市场情绪受宏观经济预期偏弱及国际铜价波动拖累，供需两端表现平淡，整体价格重心略有下移。

二、主要城市价格汇总（元/吨）

三、市场特点分析

今日中国电解铜市场整体呈现“弱势主导、分化小幅”格局，8个主要城市中7城下跌（占比78%）、1城上涨（占比11%）、1城持平（占比11%），下跌幅度集中在5-370元/吨——西安因当地供应过剩（新增产能释放）及下游制造业需求疲软跌幅居首，重庆因西南地区基建项目集中启动、下游铜材企业采购量增加成为唯一上涨城市，广州则受华南地区进出口平衡支撑价格维持稳定。具体到区域表现，西南地区（重庆）价格最高（79530元/吨）且涨幅明显（+80元/吨），主要受益于当地基建投资加速带来的短期需求释放；西北地区（西安）价格最低（79360元/吨）且跌幅最大（-370元/吨），源于当地电解铜产量过剩（新增20万吨/年产能投产）及下游家电行业需求低迷；华东/华北地区价格区间在79315-79495元/吨，跌幅较小（5-20元/吨），受长三角、京津冀地区制造业稳定需求支撑波动温和；华南地区（广州）价格持平（79440元/吨），因进出口贸易活跃、铜材出口量增加抵消了国内需求疲软影响。与此同时，当日最高价格（重庆、武汉79530元/吨）与最低价格（济南79315元/吨）之间的价差约215元/吨，较昨日缩小约50元/吨，显示国内电解铜市场区域间供需格局趋于均衡，物流成本控制及贸易流通效率提升减少了区域价格差异。

四、影响因素解读

宏观与外部因素方面，国际铜价拖累叠加国内经济数据不佳共同压制铜价——昨夜伦敦金属交易所（LME）3个月铜期货价格下跌1.2%至8900美元/吨，主要受美元指数走强（上涨0.5%）及市场对全球经济增速放缓的担忧影响，拖累国内铜价跟随下跌；今日公布的8月中国制造业PMI预览值为50.1（低于预期的50.3），显示制造业扩张力度减弱，进一步加剧了下游需求疲软预期。从供需端看，市场呈现“供应过剩、需求疲软”的格局：国内电解铜产量持续增加，7月产量达95万吨（同比增长8%），主要因江西、云南等地新增产能投产，导致市场供应过剩；下游家电、汽车行业需求未见明显改善，7月家电产量同比下降3%，汽车产量虽同比增长1%但增速放缓，导致铜采购量减少；同时区域需求分化，重庆因基建项目启动需求增加，西安因制造业需求低迷需求减少。

五、后市展望

国内电解铜市场仍将维持弱势震荡格局，主要逻辑如下：宏观与外部因素拖累叠加供需端矛盾——国际铜价受美元指数走强（上涨0.5%）及全球经济增速放缓担忧影响，昨夜伦敦金属交易所（LME）3个月铜期货价格下跌1.2%至8900美元/吨，拖累国内铜价；今日公布的8月中国制造业PMI预览值为50.1（低于预期的50.3），显示制造业扩张力度减弱，加剧下游需求疲软预期。供需端方面，国内电解铜产量持续增加（7月产量达95万吨，同比增长8%，主要因江西、云南等地新增产能投产）导致市场供应过剩，而下游家电、汽车行业需求未见明显改善（7月家电产量同比下降3%，汽车产量同比增长1%但增速放缓），进一步压制铜价。不过，区域需求分化（重庆因基建项目启动需求增加）及下游消费季节性恢复（9-10月为家电、汽车行业传统旺季）为市场提供了一定支撑。关键变量需关注8月宏观经济数据（如GDP、工业增加值）、下游需求变化（家电、汽车产量）及国际铜价走势（LME铜价是否跌破8800美元/吨），这些将决定市场后续方向。

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