2025年10月13日电解铜市场日报

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年10月13日电解铜市场日报

2025-10-13 17:30:52 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、行情综述

10月13日中国主要城市电解铜价格全线大幅下跌跌幅均超过1600元/吨市场情绪偏弱据北方有色网数据当天全国电解铜均价约为84880元/吨（含税）较前一交易日下跌约1680元/吨跌幅约2%各主要城市中广州84870元/吨（跌1740元/吨）、重庆84910元/吨（跌1710元/吨）、北京84910元/吨（跌1640元/吨）、西安84850元/吨（跌1660元/吨）、武汉84950元/吨（跌1660元/吨）、济南84750元/吨（跌1660元/吨）、天津84750元/吨（跌1640元/吨）、沈阳84790元/吨（跌1670元/吨）、上海84930元/吨（跌1655元/吨）整体地区间价格差异较小最高上海84930元/吨最低济南、天津84750元/吨跌幅集中在1640-1740元/吨之间显示市场下跌压力较为一致。

二、价格走势分析

当日电解铜价格下跌的核心驱动因素为宏观利空叠加基本面供需宽松。宏观因素方面10月13日美元指数（DXY）盘中突破107关口较前一交易日上涨0.6%创近三个月新高由于国际铜价以美元计价美元走强导致铜的“性价比”下降海外买家采购意愿减弱拖累国内铜价同步下跌。供应端近期国内铜冶炼厂逐步复产9月电解铜产量约为92万吨同比增长5%环比增长3%创年内新高供应增加导致市场库存累积上海期货交易所（SHFE）铜库存10月13日较前一周增加1.2万吨至8.5万吨为近两个月最高水平进一步压制价格。需求端下游需求方面传统行业疲软是主要拖累房地产行业9月房地产投资同比下降6.8%连续12个月负增长建筑用铜需求同比减少8%家电行业9月家电出口额同比下降5%铜制家电需求疲软汽车行业传统燃油车产销量同比下降3%对铜的需求减少尽管新能源行业需求保持增长9月新能源车产销量同比增长38%光伏装机量同比增长40%但占比仍较小暂未对冲传统行业的需求下滑。

三、市场展望

短期内铜价仍将维持弱势震荡主要关注宏观层面美元指数走势若美联储继续加息预期升温美元可能继续走强压制铜价供应层面若冶炼厂继续复产供应过剩压力将持续价格难有起色需求层面需关注四季度“金九银十”传统旺季的需求恢复情况若房地产、家电行业需求改善可能支撑价格企稳政策层面若国内出台稳经济政策或对铜价形成支撑中长期来看新能源行业的需求增长仍是铜价的核心支撑新能源车、光伏用铜需求占比预计2026年将提升至35%但短期需警惕供应过剩与传统需求疲软的叠加影响。

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2025年10月13日电解铜市场日报

一、行情综述

二、价格走势分析

三、市场展望

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