基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年11月7日电解铜市场日报

2025-11-07 17:14:09 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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一、今日价格概况

据北方有色网11月7日17:00数据显示，中国主要城市电解铜价格当日全线上涨，涨幅在50至115元/吨之间，整体呈现“普涨”格局。其中，重庆电解铜价格最高（85965元/吨）且涨幅最大（+115元/吨），武汉（85980元/吨，+70元/吨）、上海（85955元/吨，+65元/吨）、济南（85830元/吨，+80元/吨）紧随其后，广州、天津、北京、西安、沈阳等城市涨幅均为50至60元/吨，各城市价格差异主要源于区域供需及运输成本的不同。

二、价格走势分析

今日电解铜价格上涨的核心逻辑可概括为“国际传导+国内需求+区域失衡”共同作用的结果：一方面，国际铜价走强带动国内现货上行，当日伦敦金属交易所（LME）3个月期铜收涨0.6%至9200美元/吨（创近1个月新高），主要受全球供给担忧（如智利、秘鲁等产铜国矿企罢工风险）及美元走弱（人民币兑美元中间价报7.18，较昨日升值0.1%）支撑，推动进口铜成本上升；另一方面，国内进入铜需求传统旺季，房地产行业秋季施工高峰来临，建筑用铜（电线电缆、管道）需求增加，制造业中家电、汽车订单回升（10月家电产量同比增长3.2%，汽车产量同比增长5.1%），新能源领域（光伏、电池）对铜的需求持续增长，进一步强化需求端支撑；值得注意的是，重庆涨幅显著因当地作为西南制造业中心，电子信息、汽车产业铜需求大幅增加，而库存较上月下降15%，经销商补货迫切，加上近期西南降雨增多导致运输成本上涨约8%，推高了终端价格。

三、市场展望

展望未来1-2周，电解铜价格仍有上行空间，但需关注三大变量：一是国际铜价走势，若LME铜价突破9300美元/吨，国内价格或跟随至86000元/吨以上；二是国内供给情况，若江西、云南等铜矿因环保政策受限，或进口铜量减少，将进一步收紧供给；三是宏观政策，若央行出台更多稳增长政策（如降准、降息），将提升市场风险偏好，推动铜价上涨。

不过，市场也需警惕潜在风险：若伦丁矿业、南方铜业等国际矿企产量超预期，可能缓解全球供给担忧，压制铜价；若国内房地产、制造业订单下滑，可能导致铜需求收缩，价格回落；若美元指数反弹，人民币贬值，将增加进口铜成本，但可能抑制出口需求。

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