2025年2月20日电解铜市场日报：重庆电解铜价微涨持稳供应收紧成交清淡

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年2月20日电解铜市场日报：重庆电解铜价微涨持稳供应收紧成交清淡

2025-02-20 15:06:12 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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价格表现

重庆市场电解铜中间价报 77290元/吨，较上一交易日上涨80元/吨；现货升贴水维持升45元/吨（环比持平）。从全国市场看：

上海：电解铜报价77100-77300元/吨（+400元），升水持稳；
广东：阴极铜均价77190元/吨（+100元），升贴水小幅波动；
天津：平水铜品牌价格无显著波动，成交以长单为主。

重庆市场涨幅与华东、华南地区同步，反映矿端紧缺（TC/RC跌至负值）及宏观宽松预期对铜价的支撑。

成交动态

供应收紧：
- 西南地区受雨雪天气影响，物流运输延迟，市场到货量减少，部分仓库库存环比下降约5%；
- 持货商惜售情绪明显，调价意愿低，零单现货流通量缩减，以长单交付为主。
需求分化：
- 电力/新能源：特高压项目及光伏排产回升（日熔量12.6万吨）支撑刚需，但高价抑制中小线缆企业采购；
- 传统领域：家电以旧换新政策拉动有限，铜管、铜棒加工企业开工率仅50%-60%。

市场情绪

下游观望：
- 铜价高位震荡（LME铜价9315-9684美元/吨），下游企业以消耗库存为主，新增订单延后；
- 精废价差缩窄至800元/吨（再生铜杆报价71900-72100元/吨），再生铜替代效应有限。
贸易商策略：
- 部分贸易商锁定进口铜（CIF到港价折人民币约76800元/吨），套利窗口微启但风险较高；
- 远期点价比例提升至30%，反映市场对Q2铜价看涨预期。

后市展望

短期：矿端紧缺（全球铜精矿缺口或达82.2万吨）与累库压力（LME库存27.09万吨）博弈，铜价或维持76000-78000元/吨区间震荡；
中期：新能源需求（2025年全球电动车用铜增65.6万吨）及国内产能出清政策（淘汰150万吨冶炼产能）将支撑价格中枢上移。

操作建议：逢回调布局多单，关注紫金矿业（海外权益矿）、江西铜业（再生铜）等龙头标的。

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2025年2月20日电解铜市场日报：重庆电解铜价微涨持稳 供应收紧成交清淡

价格表现

成交动态

市场情绪

后市展望

有色金属报告推荐

2025年2月20日电解铜市场日报：重庆电解铜价微涨持稳供应收紧成交清淡