2025年2月20日铜杆市场日报：华东地区价格微涨成交冷热不均精铜长单维稳再生供需双弱

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

2025年2月20日铜杆市场日报：华东地区价格微涨成交冷热不均精铜长单维稳再生供需双弱

2025-02-20 15:11:48 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：韩泽楷

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价格动态

精铜杆（8mmT1）：长三角地区工费报价 300-450元/吨（环比+10-20元/吨），江苏、浙江区域价差扩大至50元/吨（下游订单分布不均所致）。
再生铜杆：主流送到价 76800-76900元/吨（环比+150元/吨），精废价差收窄至 850元/吨（精铜杆含税价77700元/吨），再生替代性价比减弱。

成交分化：精铜杆长单维稳，再生铜杆供需双弱

精铜杆市场
- 头部企业：订单量500-1200吨（如江西铜业、铜陵有色锁定长单），但零单成交环比下降30%；
- 中小厂商：订单量300-600吨，受铜价高位（沪铜主力77330元/吨）压制，线缆企业原料库存周期缩短至5-7天。
- 区域差异：浙江光伏线缆企业需求回升（日采量+15%），江苏家电线缆订单仍低迷。
再生铜杆市场
- 供应收缩：华东再生铜杆开工率仅48%（环比-5%），原料紧缺（废铜拆解量降20%）致现货流通量减少；
- 需求疲软：下游仅维持刚需采购，贸易商库存普遍低于500吨（安全库存警戒线为1000吨）。

市场情绪与驱动逻辑

成本传导受阻：铜价高位挤压线缆加工利润（8mm杆毛利不足600元/吨），中小厂减产比例升至25%；
资金压力显现：账期从30天延长至60天，贸易商现金流周转率下降40%；
政策预期扰动：电网投资计划尚未明确，特高压项目招标延迟抑制铜杆放量需求。

后市预测

短期僵局：中信期货预计，3月前铜杆需求难显著改善，精铜杆加工费或下探至280-400元/吨；
结构性机会：光伏及新能源线缆（高压线、充电桩用杆）需求占比或提升至35%（2024年25%），支撑头部企业订单；
风险提示：若LME铜价突破78000元/吨，再生铜杆亏损面或扩大至60%，引发集中减产。

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2025年2月20日铜杆市场日报：华东地区价格微涨成交冷热不均 精铜长单维稳再生供需双弱

价格动态

成交分化：精铜杆长单维稳，再生铜杆供需双弱

市场情绪与驱动逻辑

后市预测

有色金属报告推荐

2025年2月20日铜杆市场日报：华东地区价格微涨成交冷热不均精铜长单维稳再生供需双弱