基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

2025年2月28日铝行情日报

2025-03-03 09:10:40 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、市场总结

今日现货铝价延续小幅上行趋势，主流地区铝杆加工费维持低位震荡。在铝价高位波动背景下，下游企业新增订单有限，以逢低刚需采购为主，现货市场整体成交表现平淡。国际方面，LME 铝期货价格宽幅震荡，最终收涨 0.19% 至 2636 美元 / 吨，反映市场对供需边际变化的谨慎预期。国内库存方面，上海保税区电解铝库存增至 77500 吨，较上周增加 2300 吨，供应端压力仍存，但需求端逐步回暖迹象显现。

二、节后预测

短期内铝市场价格预计延续高位震荡走势，主要受以下因素影响：

1. 供应端：国内电解铝产能维持高位，四川、广西等地复产产能逐步释放，供应压力仍存；氧化铝价格持续回落，电解铝生产成本支撑减弱，企业利润空间有所修复。

2. 需求端：节后下游加工企业开工率逐步回升，工业型材、新能源等领域需求边际改善，但消费旺季尚未完全启动，终端采购仍以刚需为主。

3. 库存压力：国内铝锭社会库存累库至 88.3 万吨，短期去库动力不足，压制价格上行空间。

4. 政策与宏观面：美国对铝进口关税政策扰动有限，国内政策预期支撑市场情绪，但需关注后续需求验证情况。

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基本文件流程错误 SQL 调试

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