铅周报（12.16-12.20）：沪铅行情回顾与展望

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

铅周报（12.16-12.20）：沪铅行情回顾与展望

2025-01-14 09:24:43 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、行情回顾

本周，沪铅主力期价呈现出震荡偏弱的态势。从宏观层面来看，美联储公布了最新的利率决议，如市场预期般降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间调整至4.25%-4.5%。然而，在政策声明中，美联储意外地释放了鹰派信号，大幅削减了未来的降息预期，这导致美元指数走高。受到这一宏观因素的影响，铅价在短期内承压。

此外，重要炼厂解除了重污染天气预警，再生铅炼厂复产预期增强，这也对铅价构成了压力。

二、行情展望

从基本面来看，近期再生铅炼厂的盈利空间有所扩大，其他未受环保管控的炼厂复产意愿较强。然而，需要注意的是，近期部分地区不时受到雾霾天气的影响而实施限产措施，这导致铅锭的地域性供应收紧。

同时，废电瓶价格近期涨势坚挺，受到回收淡季及节前备货需求的影响，废电瓶价格易涨难跌，市场上捂货惜售的情绪异常浓厚。这导致再生铅炼厂的原料到货情况不畅，若原料到货情况一直紧张，炼厂的原料库存将可能下滑至平均水平以下，从而限制再生铅产量的增幅。

在现货方面，本周现货市场流通货源不多，持货商挺价出货，尤其是炼厂厂库有限，报价更为坚挺。再生铅市场则因主要产区雾霾限产，市场报价较少。下游企业陆续以刚需采购为主，部分地区成交情况向好。

三、操作建议

基于以上分析，建议投资者在沪铅主力合约上采取短期震荡为主的操作策略，并注意操作节奏及风险控制。由于铅价受到宏观、基本面及现货市场等多方面因素的影响，投资者应密切关注市场动态，灵活调整操作策略。

同时，考虑到再生铅炼厂原料到货情况的不确定性以及废电瓶价格的坚挺态势，投资者在操作时还需留意这些因素对铅价可能产生的潜在影响。在风险控制方面，建议投资者设定合理的止损点位，以规避潜在的市场风险。

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铅周报（12.16-12.20）：沪铅行情回顾与展望

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