基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

磷酸铁锂周报（3.3-3.7）

2025-03-10 18:06:27 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、价格走势

1、整体持稳但小幅下跌

磷酸铁锂价格区间为3.23-3.78万元/吨（含税到厂），较前一周微跌0.27%-0.3%。其中：

动力型均价35800元/吨，与上周持平；储能型均价33600元/吨，受储能领域需求支撑，价格相对稳定；低端储能型价格跌至3.23-3.43万元/吨，市场竞争激烈。

2、成本端传导压力

碳酸锂现货价格震荡下行（电池级7.52-7.62万元/吨，工业级7.13-7.27万元/吨），但锂矿价格因非洲供应紧张和澳矿拍卖高价（6,701元/吨）获得支撑，导致磷酸铁锂成本端承压。

二、供需分析

1、供应端

头部企业生产稳定，订单增量明显，但中小厂商因亏损风险持续减产；碳酸锂社会库存处于高位，叠加锂盐厂复产及新增产能释放，供应过剩预期强化。

2、需求端

动力市场疲软，电芯厂压价情绪浓厚，采购以刚需为主，动力电池订单量减少；储能需求强劲，储能领域开工率维持高位，成为主要需求增长点。

三、后市展望

1、短期震荡为主

碳酸锂价格预计在7.3-7.7万元/吨区间波动，叠加锂矿成本支撑，磷酸铁锂价格下行空间有限，但供应过剩压力下难有显著反弹；储能需求持续放量可能对冲动力市场疲软，但需关注政策落地节奏及终端实际采购量。

2、长期技术驱动

高压密产品渗透率提升将加速市场分化，头部企业凭借技术优势进一步巩固市场份额，而中小厂商或面临淘汰。

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