基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

钴市场周报（3.10-3.14）

2025-03-17 08:51:11 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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一、价格走势

1、整体表现

本周钴价延续强势上涨趋势，成为有色金属中涨幅最大的品种。截至3月14日，钴参考价为252900元/吨，较3月1日（180200元/吨）累计上涨40.34%，周内（3月10日-14日）涨幅达9.96%，连续第三周领涨小金属品种。

2、细分品类报价

电解钴（99.8%）上海华通现货均价从221000元/吨（3月10日）小幅波动至221000元/吨（3月14日），部分市场报价单日最高达278000元/吨。钴粉（-200目，国产）上海地区均价由195000元/吨涨至203000元/吨，幅4.1%。硫酸钴、四氧化三钴等中间产品价格跟涨，推动下游三元前驱体和正极材料成本上升。

二、影响因素分析

1、供应端：刚果（金）出口禁令引发全球短缺

全球最大钴生产国刚果（金）于2月24日宣布暂停钴出口四个月，2024年该国钴产量占全球76%（22万吨/29万吨），此举预计减少约7.3万吨供应，导致市场对原料短缺的担忧加剧。国内港口钴原料到港量下降，叠加产业链捂货惜售情绪，进一步推高现货价格。部分厂商因原料紧缺加快采购，但下游企业高价接受度有限，成交以刚需为主。

2、需求端：新能源与传统行业双重拉动

新能源领域，三元电池排产逐步恢复，价格随钴盐成本上升而上涨，支撑钴需求。传统领域，消费电子（如手机）销量回暖，叠加高端合金、催化剂等制造业需求稳定。

三、后市展望

本周钴价在供应收紧与需求回暖的双重驱动下强势攀升，短期或延续涨势，但需警惕市场对高价接受度及政策变动风险。中期来看，刚果（金）出口禁令将使全球钴供应在2025年转为短缺，未来1-3个月钴价或维持震荡上行，目标价可能突破30万元/吨。

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