基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极电解液隔膜隔膜电解液电芯

镍市场周报（2025年4月7日-4月11日）

2025-04-14 08:42:15 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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电解镍价格大跌镍生铁价格基础明显松动

受到宏观面和基本面的双重影响，本周主要镍系产品价格呈现下跌态势。电解镍价格跌幅最大，现货价在震荡中回落到12万元/吨附近。镍生铁价格也出现松动，上冲1,050元/镍的动能全无，并缓慢向1,000元/镍一线回撤。

现货价格：本周末上海镍现货均价约为121,900元/吨，较上周末均价跌6,900元/吨，周跌幅为5.36%。本周末江苏市场高镍生铁现货1,010元/镍，较上周末均价跌20元/镍，跌幅为1.94%。本周末硫酸镍均价约为27,750元/吨，较上周末均价跌250元/吨，跌幅为0.89%。

期货价格：本周沪镍主力合约累计下跌4.74%，收于121,300元/吨，LME镍回升到15,180美元/吨。本周期镍价格涨跌主要受到宏观经济预期的影响。

宏观层面主要因美国政府发起“全球贸易战”而令全球经济增长蒙上一层阴影，全球资本市场风险资产价格在剧烈波动中走低，伦镍、沪镍价格大幅下跌。而镍产业基本面，全球及印尼的镍供给依然充足，近期镍产量增速要高过不锈钢及新能源电池对镍的需求增速，全球镍供给依然过剩。两方面不利因素叠加，令现货电解镍价格大跌，镍生铁价格基础松动且缓慢下跌。

镍产业基本面，其影响镍价涨跌的因素一是供给过剩的强度及预期的变化情况，二是印尼、菲律宾等镍资源国发挥资源优势、提升本国镍系产品的综合税费率水平带来的镍成本重心上移。镍价下跌，市场对成本支撑价格作用的关注度增大；镍价上升，市场对供给过剩压制镍价的关注度增大。宏观经济层面，目前市场聚焦于美国政府发起的“全球贸易战”时间长度和市场深度。

据此，预计下周镍价存有上涨的机会，电解镍价格有望在12万元/吨上方有一定上涨空间，镍生铁价格能稳定在1,000元/镍上方。

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