铅周报（2024.10.10-10.16）：下游逢低采购，铅价重心小降

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

铅周报（2024.10.10-10.16）：下游逢低采购，铅价重心小降

2025-01-14 09:23:21 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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1.本周市场回顾：内外期铅齐涨，现货铅价重心小降

1.1期货市场回顾：伦铅累计收涨0.43%，沪铅累计收涨0.36%

伦铅震荡盘整，价格累计涨幅0.36%。10月10日伦铅开盘价2073.5美元/吨，尾盘小幅收跌。10月11日至16日伦铅呈区间震荡调整态势，整体运行在2035.5-2110.5美元/吨，本周最低价格2035.5美元/吨出现在10月15日，本周最高价格2110.5美元/吨出现在10月16日。截至10月16日收盘，伦铅收盘价2085美元/吨，本周累计涨9美元/吨，涨幅0.43%；较去年同期跌6.5美元/吨，跌幅0.31%；今年累计涨18美元/吨，涨幅0.87%。

本周（2024/10/11-10/17）沪铅主力呈N字型走势，价格累计涨幅0.36%。10月11日至14日沪铅主力合约震荡上行，14日铅价最高运行至16980元/吨（本周最高价格）。10月15日铅价跳空低开，日内最低运行至16450元/吨（本周最低价格）。10月16日至17日铅价转势上行。截至10月17日收盘，沪铅主力合约收盘价16585元/吨，本周累计涨60元/吨，涨幅0.36%；较去年同期涨300元/吨，涨幅1.84%；今年累计涨710元/吨，涨幅4.47%。

1.2现货市场回顾：铅价重心小降

本周（2024/10/11-10/17）现货1#电解铅呈“N”型走势，重心环比下移。截至2024/10/17，卓创资讯现货1#电解铅报价16350—16500元/吨，均价16425元/吨，较上周四涨125元/吨，涨幅0.77%；较去年同期涨225元/吨，涨幅1.39%；今年累计涨800元/吨，涨幅5.12%。本周均价16360元/吨，较前一周均价跌140元/吨，跌幅0.85%。周初宏观因素带动铅价小涨，中后旬时段铅价出现技术性下跌与反弹。

2．驱动因素分析：需求表现一般，铅价震荡

本周市场主要交易上周六国内财政部消息和海外美联储人员讲话。上周六国内财政部会议公布了4项财政增量政策工具，主要在于化债、增发国债，稳地产和提振消费四个方面。积极的财政政策将加强逆周期调节，刺激国内市场需求，内部宏观驱动偏强，上旬铅价小涨。

但下游逢低采购，逢高采购有限，不利于铅价表现。本周二期铅下跌，下游采购电解铅较为活跃，市场成交较好。其他时段铅价上涨，下游观望接货有限。目前下游多数炼厂铅锭库存较为充足，部分炼厂的铅锭库存可供使用4-5天，下游不急于采购，仅在低价时适量补库。下旬时段铅价上涨，市场成交不佳。整体看，目前部分下游电池企业逢低接货，逢高不接。

3．下周市场展望：需求复苏滞缓，铅价或先跌后涨

需求复苏滞缓，下周铅价或先跌后涨。本周铅市需求表现不佳，仅有部分下游在铅价下跌时按需补库，没有大量成交听闻；且铅价一旦回升，下游又不会在高价接货。短期看，市场对于需求表现依然信心不足，或限制铅价表现；但是中后期也有去库预期，或支撑后期铅价。供应端来看，部分检修企业近期复产，且炼厂近期原料补充相对顺畅，铅锭产量有增加预期，若需求没有改善，供应增加会施压铅价。整体预期下周铅价先跌后涨，现货1#铅价继续关注16200-16500元/吨区间，均价16350元/吨。

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铅周报（2024.10.10-10.16）：下游逢低采购，铅价重心小降

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