原生铅月度报告（11月）

基础金属	铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁
稀有金属	稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒
新能源	锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

基础金属

铜电解铜铜精矿铜管铜棒废铜铜排铜合金精铜杆再生铜杆铜板带铝铝土矿氧化铝电解铝铝辅料铝棒铝合金锭废铝铝杆铝型材铝板卷铅铅精矿铅锭铅蓄电池再生精铅还原铅废铅蓄电池铅合金锌锌精矿电解锌锌合金氧化锌锌粉锡锡精矿锡锭锡材镁

稀有金属

稀土稀土矿稀土氧化物稀土金属钕铁硼 稀散金属锑铋铟锗镓硒钽锆 贵金属白银钨钨精矿 APT(仲钨酸铵)钨粉碳化钨钨酸钠钨条钨铁钨材钼钼精矿工业氧化钼钼铁钼化工高纯三氧化钼钼金属钛钛精矿钛渣四氯化钛海绵钛钛金属钛白粉硒

新能源

锂锂矿锂化合物金属锂镍镍矿镍铁精炼镍镍盐高冰镍 MHP 钴电解钴钴粉氯化钴四氧化三钴硫酸钴钴中间品氧化钴碳酸钴钴酸锂锰锰矿电解锰电池级硫酸锰 锂电正负极三元前驱体磷酸铁正极材料石油焦针状焦包覆沥青人造石墨硅碳负极硅氧负极硅

原生铅月度报告（11月）

2025-01-14 09:28:43 来源：北方有色网责任编辑：管理员

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铅冶炼产业12月份生产情况分析

一、11月份生产回顾

2024年11月全国冶炼厂原生铅产量为26.63万吨，环比减少2.1%，同比减少0.75%。这一下滑趋势主要归因于部分企业因检修及原料紧张导致的减产。具体原因包括：

1. 原料供给不足：河南、安徽、湖南、广东等地的多家企业因原料短缺而减停产。其中，河南A企的减量最大，月影响产量约2000吨；湖南A企停产近两周；广东A企的日产下滑近50%。

2. 生产计划变化：江西A企多次减停产，导致产量下滑；云南A企因设备故障停产维修，也影响了部分产量。此外，内蒙A企在10月26日至11月10日期间停产检修，导致月产出环比下滑。

3. 自然天数原因：11月的自然天数较少，导致炼企生产时间环比减少。不过，青海A企在10月技改结束后投产，并在11月持续爬坡生产，当前日产稳定，为产量做出了一定贡献，但仍未能完全抵消其他因素导致的产量下滑。

二、12月份生产展望

预计12月份原生铅产量将较11月份小增0.47万吨，这主要得益于当前炼企生产较为平稳以及月内自然天数增加导致的生产时间增加。其中，青海A企的生产持稳，月产出预计仍有较大提升。然而，与此同时，也有部分企业因检修导致生产减量，使得整体月内增量不明显。具体情况包括：

1. 广东部分企业可能因设备维护或原料问题而减产，但具体减量尚需进一步观察。

2. 其他地区的冶炼厂生产情况预计相对平稳，但可能受到环保政策、市场需求等因素的影响。

三、市场影响分析

1. 原料供应紧张对冶炼厂生产造成了较大影响，可能导致铅锭供应减少，进而对市场价格产生支撑作用。

2. 冶炼厂生产计划的调整以及检修计划的实施将直接影响铅锭的产量和供应节奏，进而对市场价格产生影响。

3. 环保政策的持续收紧可能对冶炼厂的生产造成进一步限制，加剧原料供应紧张的情况。

4. 市场需求的变化也将对冶炼厂的生产和价格产生影响。随着年前原料备货需求的增加，下游企业可能会增加采购量，从而支撑铅锭价格。然而，如果下游需求持续不佳，则可能导致冶炼厂库存积压，价格下跌。

综上所述，12月份铅冶炼产业的生产情况将受到多方面因素的影响。冶炼厂需要密切关注原料供应、生产计划、环保政策以及市场需求等方面的变化，以制定合理的生产策略。同时，投资者也需要密切关注这

些因素的变化，以把握市场机遇并规避风险。

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